Tag

Pce

All articles tagged with #pce

economy8 days ago

US income and spending rise in December 2025, aided by transfers and services

In December 2025, U.S. personal income rose 0.3% to $86.2B, boosting disposable income (DPI) by 0.3% and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) by 0.4% (with services up more than goods). Real PCE grew 0.1%, while the PCE price index climbed 0.4% (0.4% ex-food-and-energy, 2.9% year over year). Saving reached $830.8B (3.6% of DPI). The income gains were driven by transfer receipts (including a Maui wildfire settlement) and higher compensation, and personal outlays rose 0.4% to $90.2B. BEA also noted upcoming changes to its data-release formats and schedules, with the next release on March 13, 2026.

Friday PCE Release Could Move Markets as Inflation Bets Take Center Stage
business8 days ago

Friday PCE Release Could Move Markets as Inflation Bets Take Center Stage

Friday morning's release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE Price Index, could move U.S. markets as traders assess whether inflation is moderating and what that means for Fed rate cuts this year. If PCE confirms cooling inflation, markets could rise with bets of multiple rate cuts; futures currently price in about two 25bp cuts in 2026, potentially lifting to three if the data reinforces a softer inflation path.

Markets hold near flat as GDP, PCE data and tariff ruling loom
business9 days ago

Markets hold near flat as GDP, PCE data and tariff ruling loom

U.S. stock futures were mixed Friday ahead of Q4 GDP data and the Fed's preferred inflation gauge (PCE), plus a Supreme Court ruling on Trump's tariffs; Dow futures fell about 30 points, S&P 500 futures were little changed, and Nasdaq-100 futures rose ~0.1%. Economists expect Q4 real GDP growth around 2.5% and the PCE price index about 2.8% year over year (core ~3%). Fed minutes show officials split on rate cuts, signaling more evidence inflation must cool. A ruling against tariffs could lift markets, though the White House may reimpose duties later. In recent sessions, the Dow and Nasdaq slipped while oil rose amid U.S.–Iran tensions; Nvidia earnings are due next week.

Markets hover near flat ahead of Fed minutes and PCE data as tech slip persists
markets11 days ago

Markets hover near flat ahead of Fed minutes and PCE data as tech slip persists

Stock futures were near flat after a tepid session for U.S. equities, with Dow futures down about 32 points, S&P 500 futures down 0.07%, and Nasdaq 100 futures down 0.1%. In regular trading, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose about 0.1% while the Dow gained roughly 32 points. The tech sector remained under pressure, with CrowdStrike and ServiceNow down 3.6% and 1.1%, respectively. Investors await the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes and Friday’s PCE inflation data, with Booking Holdings, Carvana and DoorDash due to report this week. After-hours movers included Palo Alto Networks, Cadence Design Systems, and Caesars Entertainment. Amazon rose 1.2%, snapping a nine-day losing streak as investors weigh AI-spending implications.

commodities11 days ago

Gold and silver retreat as key U.S. data loom this week

Gold and silver prices slipped as traders weigh rate expectations ahead of a busy U.S. data week, with spot gold down 0.9% to $4,997.74/oz and April gold futures at $5,019.25/oz, while spot silver fell 1.5% to $76.808/oz and platinum at $2,043.20/oz. The market focus is on the Federal Reserve minutes from the January meeting and December PCE inflation data, along with U.S. trade and industrial production figures, as investors reassess the path of monetary policy and inflation.

US Inflation Rises in June Amid Tariff-Driven Price Increases
economy7 months ago

US Inflation Rises in June Amid Tariff-Driven Price Increases

The US PCE inflation measure increased to 2.6% in June, partly due to Trump's tariffs raising prices on imported goods, leading the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates steady despite inflation remaining above its 2% target. Consumer prices for goods like furniture and appliances rose, while some service costs fell, and consumer spending grew modestly amid cautious economic activity.

April PCE Inflation Data: Key Insights
economy9 months ago

April PCE Inflation Data: Key Insights

The April Core PCE inflation data showed a modest decline, with both headline and core measures aligning with expectations, suggesting a gradual easing of inflation pressures. While this supports the Fed's target, analysts caution that tariffs and trade policies may influence future price levels, and the data is unlikely to prompt immediate policy changes. Additionally, the report highlighted increased savings and strong income growth, indicating a resilient labor market amid economic uncertainties.

EPA Bans Cancer-Linked Chemicals in Household and Industrial Products
environment1 year ago

EPA Bans Cancer-Linked Chemicals in Household and Industrial Products

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has finalized new rules under the Toxic Substances Control Act to ban all uses of trichloroethylene (TCE) and most uses of perchloroethylene (PCE) due to their cancer-causing properties. The rules aim to protect public health by eliminating these chemicals from consumer products and many commercial applications, while allowing limited workplace uses with stringent safety measures. This action supports President Biden's Cancer Moonshot initiative and addresses long-standing environmental health concerns.

Fed's Preferred Inflation Measure Rises at Slowest Pace This Year
economics1 year ago

Fed's Preferred Inflation Measure Rises at Slowest Pace This Year

The Fed's preferred inflation measure, the PCE price index, showed no progress in April, remaining flat at 0.3% for the month and 2.7% for the year. Real income and spending were negative, indicating a weakening economy. Personal income increased slightly, but real disposable personal income and real personal consumption expenditures both decreased. The economic slowdown continues, driven by declining income and consumer spending.

"The Great Disinflation: Markets Anticipate 2024 Rate Cuts by Federal Reserve"
finance2 years ago

"The Great Disinflation: Markets Anticipate 2024 Rate Cuts by Federal Reserve"

The market is anticipating more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve next year, as the Q3 GDP report revealed a surprise drop in core PCE to 2.0%. This figure aligns with the Fed's target and comes ahead of the upcoming PCE report. The market is currently pricing in 160 basis points in rate cuts for 2024, surpassing the 75 bps projected by the Federal Reserve's dot plot.