Tag

Kessler Syndrome

All articles tagged with #kessler syndrome

2032 Moon Impact Could Unleash New Lunar Science from a Tiny Asteroid
space28 days ago

2032 Moon Impact Could Unleash New Lunar Science from a Tiny Asteroid

A 60-meter asteroid (2024 YR4) has about a 4% chance to strike the Moon on December 22, 2032. If it hits, it could form a ~1 km crater with a 100 m molten pool, trigger a magnitude-5.0 “moonquake,” vaporize rock, and loft up to 400 kg of debris that could reach Earth, potentially posing risks to satellites and even ground hazards. Yet scientists see this as a rare, invaluable chance to study lunar geology, interior structure, and crater formation in real time using telescopes and space assets, while some agencies consider deflection to prevent the impact. The piece notes Universe Today as the original source.

Solar Storms Could Trigger a Rapid Kessler-Style Debris Cascade in Low Earth Orbit
space1 month ago

Solar Storms Could Trigger a Rapid Kessler-Style Debris Cascade in Low Earth Orbit

Scientists warn that a powerful solar storm could abruptly trigger a Kessler syndrome–style cascade in Earth's low orbit, turning orbital debris into a self-perpetuating cloud that endangers satellites and could shower debris back to Earth. Researchers introduced the CRASH clock, suggesting a catastrophic collision could unfold in roughly 5.5 days if navigation is disrupted, a sobering risk given the growing megaconstellations from SpaceX, Amazon, and others and the current high rate of in-orbit maneuvers.

Starlink Expansion Sparks Warnings of Space Debris, Atmospheric Impact
technology1 month ago

Starlink Expansion Sparks Warnings of Space Debris, Atmospheric Impact

The FCC approved 7,500 more Starlink satellites, bringing the constellation to about 15,000 by 2031, but scientists warn this could heighten collision risk in crowded orbits, trigger space-debris concerns (including sub-10 cm fragments), and alter the stratosphere with more aluminum oxide from deorbiting, while solar storms pose additional lower-orbit risks—even as officials emphasize faster broadband and economic benefits.

Solar Storms Could Collapse LEO Satellite Web in Days
space1 month ago

Solar Storms Could Collapse LEO Satellite Web in Days

New analysis warns that solar storms could trigger a rapid, near-term collapse of Earth’s LEO satellite mega-constellations if command-and-control for avoidance is lost. The study introduces the CRASH Clock, estimating a catastrophic collision could occur in about 2.8 days as of mid-2025 (versus 121 days in 2018), and a 24-hour outage carries roughly a 30% chance of seeding long-term debris cascades. Solar storms heat the atmosphere, increasing drag and degrading orbit predictions while possibly disabling satellite navigation and communications, leaving many satellites unable to dodge each other. Authored by Sarah Thiele and colleagues and posted on arXiv, the work argues for real-time tracking and control to prevent a “house of cards” collapse of space infrastructure, a risk underscored by the 2024 Gannon storm and the historic Carrington Event.

Urgent Warning: Solar Storms and the Rising Risk of Space Debris Collisions
science2 months ago

Urgent Warning: Solar Storms and the Rising Risk of Space Debris Collisions

A new metric called the CRASH Clock quantifies the risk of catastrophic satellite collisions, revealing that a severe event like a solar storm could cause a collision in less than three days, highlighting the urgent need to address space debris and satellite congestion, especially with the rapid increase in satellite constellations by companies like SpaceX.

Starlink and Chinese Satellites Nearly Collide Again, Raising Concerns
space2 months ago

Starlink and Chinese Satellites Nearly Collide Again, Raising Concerns

A near-miss occurred on December 12 when a Starlink satellite narrowly avoided colliding with a Chinese-launched satellite launched just 48 hours earlier, highlighting the lack of an international space traffic management system. With the increasing number of satellites from companies like SpaceX and Amazon, the risk of space debris and collisions is rising, potentially leading to catastrophic chain reactions and debris falling to Earth, emphasizing the urgent need for coordinated space traffic control.

Satellite Collision Risks Accelerate Amid Solar Storm Threats
science-and-technology2 months ago

Satellite Collision Risks Accelerate Amid Solar Storm Threats

A new study warns that a severe solar storm could trigger satellite collisions in Earth's orbit within days, especially in low Earth orbit where most satellites like SpaceX's Starlink operate, potentially leading to a cascade of debris and making space unusable. The risk is higher now than in 2018 due to increased satellite numbers, and future solar storms could cause significant disruptions if satellite operators are unprepared.

Severe Solar Storms Could Trigger Satellite Catastrophe in Just Days
science2 months ago

Severe Solar Storms Could Trigger Satellite Catastrophe in Just Days

A new study warns that a single solar storm could disable satellite control systems, leading to catastrophic collisions in space and potentially triggering Kessler syndrome, which could make space inaccessible for humans for decades. The increasing density of satellite mega-constellations like Starlink amplifies this risk, especially since solar storms can damage satellites' navigational systems and increase atmospheric drag, making real-time control crucial to prevent disaster.

Countdown to Crisis: The Urgent Need to Address Low Earth Orbit Congestion
science-and-technology2 months ago

Countdown to Crisis: The Urgent Need to Address Low Earth Orbit Congestion

A new study warns that the increasing density of satellite mega-constellations in Low Earth Orbit creates a fragile system at risk of catastrophic collision, especially during solar storms, with potential for a rapid cascade of debris and loss of space access within days if control is lost. The paper emphasizes the urgent need for better management and risk assessment to prevent a future space debris catastrophe.