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US trade deficit widens to a fresh peak as imports outpace exports
economy7 days ago

US trade deficit widens to a fresh peak as imports outpace exports

Last year the US posted a record $3.4 trillion in goods imports and a goods-and-services deficit near $901.5 billion, pushing the overall goods deficit to about $1.2 trillion despite sweeping tariffs. Exports rose to new highs, and the US-China gap narrowed about 30% to $202.1 billion, while gaps widened with Mexico, Vietnam and Taiwan. Analysts say tariff effects may take time to materialize amid ongoing legal challenges to the tariffs.

via BBC|
#china-trade#economy#exports
Sanctions push Russia toward oil-output cuts as exports falter
world11 days ago

Sanctions push Russia toward oil-output cuts as exports falter

Western sanctions are squeezing Russia’s oil trade: January seaborne exports slipped to about 3.4 million barrels per day from 3.8 mbpd in December, with February tracking around 2.8 mbpd, while Russia-held oil on ships rose to a record above 150 million barrels. Moscow has redirected crude to China, India and Turkey via a shadow fleet, but EU bans on refined Russian fuels and tighter US measures are reducing demand. If wells are shut for extended periods, restarting production won’t be easy, suggesting sanctions could force Russia to cut output despite past resilience.

via Daily Kos|
#energy-security#exports#oil
China’s growth model loses steam as housing slump drags demand and deflation persists
economy25 days ago

China’s growth model loses steam as housing slump drags demand and deflation persists

China’s export-led growth is losing steam as a real estate crash and weak domestic demand fuel a deflationary spiral, even after a record 2025 trade surplus and about 5% GDP growth. December retail sales were only 0.9% higher, fixed-asset investment fell sharply, and tens of millions of homes remain unsold, underscoring the economy’s exposure to the property market. Analysts warn that relying on exports is unsustainable and call for a consumer-led rebalancing, with Fitch and IMF foreseeing slower growth in 2026.

via Fortune|
#china#deflation#economy
Tariffs Fall Short: U.S. Trade Deficit Stays Near Record High
economy-and-politics29 days ago

Tariffs Fall Short: U.S. Trade Deficit Stays Near Record High

The U.S. trade deficit remains near record highs despite tariffs, after a brief dip earlier in 2025; November alone showed a jump to $56.8 billion as imports rose and exports fell. Even when removing tariff effects and gold flows, deficits stay large, with 2025 tracking to one of the year’s largest gaps. Economists say tariffs and a cheaper dollar help, but persistent import demand (notably from Mexico and Vietnam) and AI-related equipment needs keep the deficit elevated, even as Q4 looks to be the year’s smallest deficit and could modestly boost GDP.

via MarketWatch|
#economy-and-politics#exports#gdp
economy1 month ago

US Q3 2025 GDP Revised Up to 4.4% on Strong Exports and Investment

BEA revises Q3 2025 GDP to +4.4% (SAAR), up from Q2’s +3.8%, driven by rises in consumer spending, exports, government spending, and investment, with imports higher; real final sales to private domestic purchasers up 2.9%. Industry: private services-producing +5.3%, private goods-producing +3.6%, government -0.3%. Real gross output +3.2% with services leading; PCE inflation at 2.8% (2.9% ex food and energy). Profits from current production rose by $175.6B. The update replaces the prior December release due to a government shutdown; next BEA release is February 20, 2026.

via Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) (.gov)|
#bea#economy#exports
Japan's December exports miss forecasts as U.S. slump weighs on growth
business1 month ago

Japan's December exports miss forecasts as U.S. slump weighs on growth

Japan's exports rose 5.1% year-on-year in December 2025, missing Reuters' 6.1% forecast as shipments to the United States fell 11.1% after a prior month gain. Shipments to mainland China rose 5.6% and to Hong Kong 31.1%, with Asia up 10.2%. December imports gained 5.1%. For 2025, exports increased 3.1%—slower than 2024—as shipments to China (-0.4%) and the U.S. (-4.1%) fell, while Hong Kong (+17.8%) and Taiwan (+15.1%) rose. The release comes ahead of snap elections on Feb. 8; a Takaichi victory could support a weaker yen and expansionary fiscal policy.

via CNBC|
#business#china#exports
China taps export strength to hit 5% growth amid domestic headwinds
business1 month ago

China taps export strength to hit 5% growth amid domestic headwinds

China posted 5% GDP growth in 2025, meeting Beijing's target, aided by a record trade surplus of about $1.19 trillion driven by rising exports despite US tariffs, even as quarterly growth cooled to 4.5% and domestic demand remained weak amid a prolonged property downturn and a demographic drop (births near 7.9 million). Analysts warn official figures may overstate expansion and caution that the economy is two-speed, with exports propping up growth while consumption and housing drag, complicating policy as trade tensions loom.

via BBC|
#business#china-economy#demographics
China’s Housing Crash Clouds Growth Despite Export Boom
economy1 month ago

China’s Housing Crash Clouds Growth Despite Export Boom

China’s housing crash deepens as new-home sales slump to a 15-year low and apartment prices fall about 20% since 2021, choking consumer spending and squeezing local government finances that depend on land sales. Yet official data peg 2025 growth at 5% with a record $1.19 trillion trade surplus thanks to strong exports, while domestic demand remains weak and investment fell 3.8% last year—the first decline since 1989. Some analysts estimate true growth nearer 2.5–3%. Authorities aim to stabilize sentiment with measures like converting unsold homes into affordable housing, but local governments’ revenue strains and a demographic slowdown keep pressure on the housing market.

via The New York Times|
#china#economy#exports
China hits historic trade surplus amid tariff headwinds
business1 month ago

China hits historic trade surplus amid tariff headwinds

China posted a record $1.19 trillion trade surplus for 2025, the largest ever and the first time above $1 trillion, as exports rose despite U.S. tariffs. Growth came from demand outside the U.S. — especially Southeast Asia, Africa and Latin America — while imports barely grew amid a weak domestic market; a weaker yuan and Western inflation also boosted price competitiveness. Analysts call it a mixed blessing: signs of global demand for Chinese goods, but potential scrutiny as external conditions remain uncertain.

via BBC|
#business#china#exports
China Posts Historic Trade Surplus as Exports Flood Global Markets
world1 month ago

China Posts Historic Trade Surplus as Exports Flood Global Markets

China posted a $1.19 trillion trade surplus for 2025—the largest on record and up 20% from 2024—driven by a weak renminbi and booming exports to Europe, Africa and Southeast Asia, while imports were flat; despite U.S. tariffs shaving about 22% off the U.S. surplus, shipments to other regions surged as Beijing pursues self‑reliance ahead of its 2030 plan, with the IMF urging currency normalization and a shift toward stronger domestic demand.

via The New York Times|
#china#exports#imports