All articles tagged with #recession
Americans are increasingly pessimistic about their job prospects, with the perceived probability of finding a job at a record low of 43.1%, amid a sluggish labor market characterized by low hiring, high uncertainty, and uneven growth across sectors, especially impacting lower- and middle-income Americans.
The article predicts a volatile 2026 with major stock indices likely to decline by at least 20%, a shift of the Federal Reserve from stabilizer to liability, the resurgence of stagflation, a burst of the quantum computing bubble, sector rotations favoring consumer staples over tech, Meta Platforms' potential stock split, Nvidia's decline in market cap, tariffs impacting earnings, record share buybacks, and SpaceX's IPO possibly surpassing all previous records.
A recent poll shows that nearly half of Americans believe their financial security is worsening, with significant blame directed at the White House, and most Americans perceiving the economy as in recession, negatively impacting Trump's approval ratings on economic issues.
Despite challenges like tariffs, inflation, and a slowdown in hiring, the US economy in 2025 has shown resilience with strong growth, rising stock markets, and manageable inflation, though consumer confidence remains low and income disparities persist, leading experts to rate its overall performance as a B or B-.
Consumer confidence in the US has dropped to its lowest level since April 2025, influenced by concerns over high prices, tariffs, and a sluggish job market, despite some positive outlooks on future financial expectations. The decline reflects ongoing economic uncertainty amid trade tensions and rising interest rates.
The article discusses the possibility of a US recession in 2026, highlighting expert opinions and economic indicators that suggest potential risks for the future economy.
The Bundesbank warns that Germany's multiyear recession is expected to only gradually improve, with a slow recovery anticipated to extend into 2026.
A recent NPR/PBS News/Marist poll shows President Trump's approval of his handling of the economy has dropped to 36%, his lowest in six years, amid widespread economic concerns among Americans, including high prices, fears of recession, and personal financial struggles, with significant partisan and demographic divides.
The article discusses how economic uncertainty, inflation, and low consumer confidence are leading to decreased spending on haircuts, colors, and beauty services, with many clients opting for lower-cost options and stylists experiencing slower business, reflecting a broader economic slowdown.
A forecaster from BCA Research predicts the AI boom will turn to bust in 2026, leading to a significant stock market decline, especially in tech stocks, due to overinvestment, moderation in AI adoption, and economic slowdown, with the S&P 500 expected to fall 23% and the Nasdaq 31% in 2026.
A leading investment bank warns that the U.S. labor market is weakening significantly, with rising layoffs, declining hiring, and falling consumer confidence, indicating potential recession risks and challenging the notion of a resilient job market. The situation is compounded by reduced holiday hiring and mixed signals from the Federal Reserve about interest rate policies.
Employers have announced 1.1 million job cuts so far this year, reaching levels comparable to a recession, according to a private firm report.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warns that parts of the U.S. economy are already in recession and others could follow without further rate cuts, despite recent strong growth estimates; he criticizes Fed policies for causing distributional issues and highlights the potential need for lower rates to support housing and lower-income consumers, though the ongoing government shutdown hampers economic data collection.
The Federal Reserve's second interest rate cut of the year, amid economic slowdown and rising inflation, is criticized by economists and politicians as being influenced by President Trump's economic policies, which are blamed for pushing the economy towards recession and increasing costs for working families.
Despite the US economy avoiding a recession and experiencing growth, Washington is implementing large-scale stimulus measures, including new spending bills and potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which raises questions about whether these actions are based on actual economic conditions or political motives, especially given the high levels of national debt and regional economic contractions.