All articles tagged with #economic indicators
The BEA reports that U.S. growth cooled at the end of 2025, with fourth-quarter GDP up at an annualized rate of 1.4%, leaving 2025’s total growth at 2.2%—down from 2.8% in 2024—largely due to tariffs and a weeks-long government shutdown that weighed on momentum.
A HuffPost piece tracks nontraditional recession indicators from sex workers and analysts—ranging from brothel and strip club earnings to tips, beer sales, cosmetics, dating-app use, and hemline trends—to suggest economic trouble ahead, while traditional data show only a slowdown rather than an outright recession for now.
The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged at its first meeting of 2026 after three cuts late in 2025, signaling a patient stance as hiring slows but the broader economy remains resilient, while inflation’s trajectory will determine the next moves.
Americans started 2026 in a foul mood even as the economy shows growth and unemployment remains low, with consumer confidence sinking to a 12-year low (84.5). Persistent inflation around 3% and a softer job market weigh on sentiment, underscoring a disconnect between strong headlines and public mood.
The average US long-term mortgage rate declined to its lowest point in more than three years, easing borrowing costs for prospective homebuyers according to Freddie Mac.
Initial jobless claims fell by 9,000 to 198,000 for the week ending Jan. 10, dipping below 200,000 for only the second time in a year and signaling a potential improvement in the U.S. labor market (claims are seasonally adjusted).
Asia-Pacific markets declined on the last trading day of the year amid holiday closures, with China’s factory activity expanding in December for the first time since March, signaling a potential economic rebound. Meanwhile, U.S. markets experienced modest declines, influenced by tech stock losses, with the MSCI All Country World Index reaching a record high for the year.
U.S. stock futures are slightly down as traders await the final trading day of 2025, amid ongoing economic and market uncertainties.
U.S. Treasury yields increased slightly as investors prepare for a week of major debt auctions amid easing inflation pressures and cautious outlooks on interest rate cuts, with key economic indicators and Federal Reserve comments influencing market sentiment.
Flawed inflation data has undermined Donald Trump's hopes for a quick victory in improving affordability, highlighting issues with economic indicators and their impact on political goals.
European stocks declined amid ongoing Ukraine peace negotiations, with defense stocks falling and investors preparing for central bank decisions; UK unemployment rose, and global markets reacted to economic data and geopolitical developments.
U.S. stocks rose despite lower-than-expected private sector jobs data, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 gaining modestly, while Microsoft shares declined temporarily. The jobs report showed a decline in employment, especially among small businesses, but larger firms added jobs, indicating a mixed labor market. Other economic indicators like PMI and ISM services index showed slight variations, and Bitcoin continued its recovery. Bond yields fell slightly, and major companies like Salesforce and Snowflake are set to report earnings.
The U.S. labor market shows signs of weakening as the government shutdown ends, with ADP data indicating a contraction in private-sector jobs in late October and a lack of consistent job growth, raising concerns about the overall economic recovery and influencing Federal Reserve decisions.
The ongoing government shutdown has prevented the release of the official October jobs report, but alternative data suggests the U.S. labor market is experiencing a slowdown with reduced hiring and increased layoffs, though not indicating a recession. Small businesses are particularly cautious, and while some indicators show signs of weakness, overall employment remains relatively stable, influencing Federal Reserve considerations on interest rate policies.
The Shiller PE Ratio has reached its highest level since 1999, reminiscent of the dot-com bubble peak, raising concerns about whether current investment trends, especially in AI, could signal an impending market correction.