China's manufacturing activity in October grew less than expected, with the PMI slipping slightly and export orders dropping sharply due to trade uncertainties, though job creation accelerated. The slowdown reflects waning momentum as external trade tensions and holiday effects impact the economy, but recent US-China trade deal optimism may provide some relief.
China's manufacturing PMI fell to a six-month low of 49.0 in October, indicating contraction due to declining export orders amid ongoing trade tensions, while the non-manufacturing sector showed slight growth. The slowdown raises concerns about the sustainability of China's economic recovery and the need for additional stimulus to meet growth targets.
China's factory activity expanded for a third consecutive month in January, with the Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI at 50.8, indicating growth, while the official manufacturing PMI showed a fourth consecutive monthly contraction at 49.2. The divergence is attributed to differences in survey samplings, with the Caixin survey focusing on more export-oriented and coastal manufacturers. Both surveys noted declining employment and price pressures, with China's manufacturing sector facing challenges amid the need for policy support.