
GDP revision signals slower growth as inflation stays high ahead of Iran conflict
New Commerce Department data trim Q4 2025 GDP growth to 0.7% annualized, far slower than the prior 1.4% advance estimate, while January inflation remains stubborn with core PCE at 3.1% and overall PCE near 2.8%, signaling persistent price pressures even as oil prices rise with the Iran conflict; the weaker momentum before the conflict complicates the Fed’s effort to cool inflation without tipping the economy into recession, and markets priced in potential rate cuts later in the year.










