Tag

Probability Theory

All articles tagged with #probability theory

"Michel Talagrand Awarded 2024 Abel Prize for Taming Randomness"

Originally Published 1 year ago — by Quanta Magazine

Featured image for "Michel Talagrand Awarded 2024 Abel Prize for Taming Randomness"
Source: Quanta Magazine

French mathematician Michel Talagrand has been awarded the Abel Prize for his groundbreaking work in probability theory and understanding random processes. His research has revolutionized the field, providing insights into the behavior of complex systems and developing techniques to analyze extreme outcomes and concentration phenomena. Talagrand's work has had a profound impact across various disciplines, from mathematics and physics to computer science and statistics, and he has dedicated himself to sharing his knowledge through textbooks and mentoring young researchers.

Understanding the Difference Between COVID-19 Population Statistic and Personal Risk.

Originally Published 2 years ago — by The Conversation

Featured image for Understanding the Difference Between COVID-19 Population Statistic and Personal Risk.
Source: The Conversation

The case fatality rate of COVID-19 is a statistic, not a personal probability of dying from the virus. The rate is calculated by dividing the number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths by the number of confirmed cases. Personal risk varies over time, place, and between individuals, and depends on intricate physical and biological processes. Health risks also vary among demographic groups. Therefore, the case fatality rate may not be a great estimate of personal risk for every person across all demographic groups.