In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, President-elect Donald Trump secured a decisive victory, gaining increased support from key demographic groups. Notably, 16% of Black voters supported Trump, doubling his 2020 support, while Kamala Harris received 83% of Black votes, down from Biden's 91% in 2020. Among Latino voters, Trump's support rose to 42% from 35% in 2020, while Harris received 56%, down from Biden's 63%. A gender gap was evident, with Trump receiving more support from men across racial groups. The AP VoteCast survey, conducted with over 120,000 voters, highlighted these shifts in voter preferences.
A detailed precinct-level analysis of Pennsylvania's 2024 election results reveals that Donald Trump improved his vote share in most areas compared to 2020, leading to a 3.2-point swing in his favor. The biggest shifts occurred in precincts where Trump previously had lower support, particularly in Philadelphia and its suburbs. Despite Kamala Harris winning the region, her margin was significantly smaller than Biden's in 2020. Trump's gains were notable among Hispanic voters, while he lost some support among college-educated residents.
Early election results indicate a shift towards Republican candidates across the United States, suggesting a potential change in political power dynamics.
In the 2024 presidential election, Donald Trump is projected to win Georgia and North Carolina, with significant gains in rural areas and small cities, while Kamala Harris struggles to expand Democratic margins in urban and suburban areas. The election remains tight, with key battleground states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin showing shifts in voting patterns compared to 2020. Trump's increased support in rural areas and among working-class voters poses challenges for Democrats, who rely on urban and suburban strongholds to secure victories.
Steve Kornacki highlights three key counties to watch on Election Day: Fayette County in Georgia, Nash County in North Carolina, and Lackawanna County in Pennsylvania. These counties could indicate broader national trends in the presidential race. Kornacki also provides an hour-by-hour guide to poll closings and key races. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump made their final campaign pitches, while Joe Biden concluded his campaign quietly. Election officials are preparing for potential disinformation as vote counting begins.
A Nevada elections expert has predicted that Kamala Harris will win the state in the upcoming election. As Election Day unfolds, both the Trump and Harris campaigns are expressing confidence, with Harris's team feeling optimistic about their chances. Key battleground states have opened their polls, and there is significant focus on voter turnout and demographic support, particularly among women and Black men under 50. The Democratic National Committee chair is hopeful about winning the presidency, maintaining the Senate majority, and reclaiming the House.
