US Treasuries rebounded after Powell said the Fed has limited ability to control supply shocks, prompting traders to shift away from bets on further rate hikes and toward the possibility of cuts later this year as Iran-related oil-price pressures and slower growth concerns weigh on inflation.
Global supply shocks, including Mexico's crude export cuts, US sanctions on Russian and Venezuelan oil, and Houthi rebel attacks on tankers, are intensifying fears of a commodity-driven inflation resurgence and threatening to push Brent crude to $100 per barrel. The supply disruptions, combined with healthy global demand, are complicating rate-cut deliberations and clouding US President Joe Biden's reelection chances. The surge in oil prices is tightening global markets and could force OPEC+ to reconsider production cuts, while also posing a political risk for the Biden administration as it threatens to push retail gasoline prices higher.
Oil prices surged above $90 a barrel due to military tensions and global supply shocks, including Mexico's cut in crude exports, US refiners consuming more domestic barrels, stranded Russian cargoes, potential Venezuelan supply disruptions, and Houthi rebel attacks delaying crude shipments. Despite the turmoil, OPEC and its allies are maintaining production cuts, intensifying fears of a commodity-driven inflation resurgence and raising the possibility of oil prices reaching $100 this summer.
Global supply shocks, including Mexico's crude export cuts, US sanctions on Russian and Venezuelan oil, and Houthi rebel attacks on tankers, are intensifying fears of commodity-driven inflation and pushing oil prices towards $100 a barrel. The disruptions, combined with healthy global demand, are turbocharging an oil rally ahead of the US summer driving season, complicating central banks' rate-cut deliberations and clouding US President Joe Biden’s reelection chances. The surge in oil prices is also snarling the Biden administration’s plans to refill emergency US oil reserves and threatening to push retail gasoline prices higher, contributing to concerns about a reversal in the recent slowdown in consumer price gains.