Tag

Bonds

All articles tagged with #bonds

Bond Spreads Reach Dot-Com Levels and CAPE Signal S&P Slump Ahead
markets13 days ago

Bond Spreads Reach Dot-Com Levels and CAPE Signal S&P Slump Ahead

Wary signals are flashing: credit spreads on investment-grade bonds have narrowed to about 71 basis points—the tightest since 1998—raising the risk of a bond sell-off if economic conditions worsen, while the stock market's CAPE ratio sits at 40.1 in January 2026, the highest since the dot-com era. If history repeats, the S&P 500 could fall roughly 3% in 1 year, 19% in 2 years, and 30% in 3 years, with little chance of a positive return; though AI-driven earnings could mute the move, the current setup favors caution: trim risk, and limit stock purchases to high-conviction ideas.

Alphabet fuels AI-driven bond boom as 2026 issuance heads for a record
business18 days ago

Alphabet fuels AI-driven bond boom as 2026 issuance heads for a record

Alphabet sold $20 billion in a multi-tranche bond issue and is weighing a sterling debut that could include a 100-year note, part of a broader rush by AI hyperscalers to fund aggressive data-center expansion. Analysts see U.S. corporate bond issuance climbing to about $2.46 trillion in 2026, with hyperscaler debt driving much of the activity this year, following recent large bonds from Oracle, Meta, and others.

Google Tests Century-Long Debt as Market Bets on Its Longevity
business18 days ago

Google Tests Century-Long Debt as Market Bets on Its Longevity

Google is reportedly planning a 100-year bond in British pounds after a 50-year issue, paying about 1 percentage point more than U.S. Treasuries to borrow for a century—an indication that investors view Google as nearly as safe as a nation-state after its antitrust remedies. The piece notes Google’s 2025 net income of about $132 billion and planned $185 billion in 2026 capex to boost AI, and discusses how regulators’ actions have shaped investor trust, while Google contends the remedies were flawed and is appealing the ruling.

Vanguard ETFs to Weather a Potential Market Crash
markets26 days ago

Vanguard ETFs to Weather a Potential Market Crash

To hedge a potential crash, the piece recommends three Vanguard ETFs—VGSH (short-term Treasuries) for safety with a ~3.6% yield; BND (total bond market) for diversification and about a 4.2% yield; and VFMV (minimum-volatility stocks) to lower equity risk with a beta around 0.56, though none are crash-proof and the combination aims to cushion losses rather than prevent them.

Mortgage Rates Jump to Near Month-High Amid Geopolitical Market Turmoil
business1 month ago

Mortgage Rates Jump to Near Month-High Amid Geopolitical Market Turmoil

Mortgage rates climbed to 6.21% for the 30-year fixed, tying the highest level in about a month, as weakness in global markets and geopolitical events pressured Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. After briefly touching 5.99% earlier in January, rates rose in the wake of the administration’s announced $200 billion mortgage-bond buying plan, with the market awaiting how this program will unfold and how upcoming economic data and geopolitics will influence rate direction.

Tariff threats push U.S. yields higher amid Europe tensions
business1 month ago

Tariff threats push U.S. yields higher amid Europe tensions

U.S. Treasury yields climbed after Trump threatened tariffs on eight European allies, fueling fears of a broader trade war and lifting longer-dated notes; the 10-year yield rose to about 4.273%, with the 20-year and 30-year maturities around 4.86% and 4.904%. The dollar index fell nearly 1% as risk appetite wavered, while European leaders signaled countermeasures and Japanese yields rose on a snap election, underscoring rising global funding costs ahead of Davos.

Trump Takes Exposure to Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery Bonds, Disclosure Shows
business1 month ago

Trump Takes Exposure to Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery Bonds, Disclosure Shows

According to a White House financial disclosure, President Trump bought corporate bonds from Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery (and SiriusXM) in December, with values up to $1 million per company; Netflix bonds mature in 2029 and WBD bonds in 2030, as part of a broader mix that included municipal bonds. A White House official said the portfolio is index‑tracking and managed by independent managers, with no input from Trump or his family.

Saks Bond Debacle Delivers Penny-Price Lessons to Hedge Funds
markets1 month ago

Saks Bond Debacle Delivers Penny-Price Lessons to Hedge Funds

Saks Global Enterprises filed for Chapter 11 after a cash bleed from its Neiman Marcus deal, leaving distressed bonds once snapped up by hedge funds trading at pennies on the dollar. The post-bankruptcy financing package totals about $1.75 billion (including $1.5 billion from senior secured lenders), which could support a turnaround, but recoveries for unsecured creditors and equity holders remain highly uncertain as lenders weigh their bets and challengers like Amazon push back on funding access. This episode underscores the risk of “catching a falling knife” in debt markets.