All articles tagged with #demographic shifts
Social Security benefits are projected to face up to 23% cuts in seven years, partly due to President Trump's tax law which reduces taxable income and accelerates the program's financial shortfall, compounded by demographic shifts like aging baby boomers, increased longevity, and lower birth rates, making urgent reform necessary.
A Pew Research Center report reveals that Donald Trump's 2024 victory was driven by a more diverse voter coalition and increased turnout among certain voter groups, with notable shifts among Hispanic, Asian, and Black voters, as well as changes in turnout among nonvoters and demographic groups like education and age. The analysis highlights the importance of voter turnout and demographic changes in shaping the election outcome.
Marijuana use among Americans aged 65 and older has increased significantly from 4.8% in 2021 to 7% in 2023, with higher usage among college-educated, higher-income, and female seniors, and a notable rise among those with multiple chronic diseases, especially in states where medical marijuana is legal.
An analysis by 538's Swing-O-Matic explores potential scenarios for the 2024 election, considering shifts in party preference and turnout among key demographic groups. Hypothetical situations include low turnout and high third-party voting among young voters potentially leading to a Trump victory, non-college-educated and nonwhite voters shifting right benefiting Trump, low turnout among non-college-educated and white voters potentially favoring Biden, and increased support among older and white voters benefiting Biden. These scenarios demonstrate the potential impact of demographic shifts on the electoral outcome.
Democrats are experiencing declining support among Black and Hispanic adults, as well as young adults, while gaining ground among college-educated Americans. The party's lead over Republicans among Black Americans has decreased by nearly 20 points over the past three years, and they now hold only a modest edge among Hispanic adults and adults aged 18 to 29. Additionally, educational gaps in party affiliation have widened, with postgraduate-educated adults leaning heavily Democratic and those with no college education leaning Republican. These shifts have led to Democrats' party advantages reaching new lows among certain demographic groups, while Republicans continue to maintain strength among White adults and other key subgroups.