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Dollar Struggles to Find a Pulse as ECB Pushes Euro-isation
business10 days ago

Dollar Struggles to Find a Pulse as ECB Pushes Euro-isation

US data has improved but not enough to restore dollar confidence, and a durable rebound looks unlikely this week; EUR/USD may break below 1.180 rather than rise to 1.20 as euro-isation grows. The ECB’s move to widen euro access could support longer-term EUR/USD, even as near-term moves remain modest. In the UK, January jobs and inflation data keep BoE-cut bets alive, while in CEE most currencies stay range-bound amid expectations of gradual rate cuts. Nvidia earnings and stock volatility loom as potential FX catalysts.

via ING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING THINK|
#boe#business#cee
Greenback Free-Falls as Short Bets Balloon Ahead of Payrolls
business17 days ago

Greenback Free-Falls as Short Bets Balloon Ahead of Payrolls

The dollar weakened broadly as IMM data showed speculative short positioning jumping to $16.82B ahead of an unusual Wednesday payrolls release and potential downward revisions to 2025 job data; EUR/USD rose and USD/JPY fell, with a China report urging banks to curb US Treasuries exposure failing to drive yields much higher, suggesting the move could fade as markets refocus on fundamentals.

via investingLive|
#business#forex#payrolls
world1 month ago

IMF drills for potential dollar rush

The IMF is preparing for extreme scenarios, including a rapid sell-off of dollar-denominated assets, as Georgieva says the Fund models “unthinkable” events. With Trump tariffs and criticisms of the Fed, confidence in the dollar has waned, gold prices surged, and BRICS nations are pursuing de-dollarisation. Georgieva suggested Europe issue more common debt to offer a safe asset alternative, though political resistance makes this difficult. The dollar’s status as the global reserve currency is not expected to change imminently due to the size and liquidity of US debt markets.

via Euractiv|
#brics#de-dollarisation#eu-common-debt
US Dollar Faces Uncertain Future Amid Global Tensions and Economic Challenges
finance2 months ago

US Dollar Faces Uncertain Future Amid Global Tensions and Economic Challenges

The US dollar experienced its worst year in eight, declining 9% due to expectations of Fed rate cuts and global economic shifts, with most analysts predicting further weakening in 2026 as other major economies gain momentum and central bank policies diverge. Near-term rebounds may occur due to AI enthusiasm and US growth, but the overall trend points to a weaker dollar driven by global growth convergence and monetary policy divergence.

via Reuters|
#currency-forecast#dollar#fed-rate-cuts
Bitcoin Surges Past $125,000 to Record High Amidst Economic Uncertainty
finance4 months ago

Bitcoin Surges Past $125,000 to Record High Amidst Economic Uncertainty

Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of over $125,000 amid a macroeconomic shift where safe-haven assets like gold and precious metals are also surging, while the US dollar is on track for its worst year since 1973 due to inflation, interest rate cuts, and political instability, signaling a significant change in monetary policy and investor behavior.

via Cointelegraph|
#all-time-high#bitcoin#finance
"Stablecoins: A Growing National Security Concern"
financetechnology1 year ago

"Stablecoins: A Growing National Security Concern"

The article argues that stablecoins, digital currencies pegged to stable assets like the USD, are crucial for maintaining the US dollar's global dominance and national security. It emphasizes the need for US regulators to recognize stablecoins as a defense technology and to establish clear rules, such as trademarking the USD, to protect and proliferate the digital dollar. The author highlights the importance of stablecoin founders in this mission and calls for regulatory support to ensure the stability and security of the US financial system in the digital age.

via NFX|
#cryptocurrency#financetechnology#national-defense
finance1 year ago

"Japan's Yen Plummets: Currency Collapse and Potential 10% Drop Against Dollar"

The Japanese yen has dropped to a 34-year low against the USD, experiencing a 32% decline since 2021 and a 50% drop since 2012 due to Japan's aggressive monetary policies. The Bank of Japan's massive money printing and debt purchasing have led to the destruction of the currency, despite recent small steps to move away from these policies. The yen's collapse serves as a cautionary tale about the consequences of prolonged reckless monetary measures.

via WOLF STREET|
#currency-collapse#finance#japan
"US Manufacturing Surges in March 2024, Dollar Strengthens"
businesseconomy1 year ago

"US Manufacturing Surges in March 2024, Dollar Strengthens"

The US March ISM manufacturing data came in at 50.3, surpassing the expected 48.4, with notable improvements in prices paid, employment, new orders, inventories, and production. The report reflects strong demand and a robust order pipeline, with some sectors anticipating growth in the second quarter despite supply chain challenges. The dollar strengthened in response to the positive report, and US 10-year yields also rose, indicating market optimism.

via ForexLive|
#businesseconomy#ism-manufacturing#manufacturing-data