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Treasury Debt

All articles tagged with #treasury debt

finance1 year ago

Fed's Waller Signals Potential Rise in Neutral Interest Rate

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller indicated that a key underlying interest rate, known as R-star, could rise in the future, though it is too early to confirm. R-star is the interest rate level that neither stimulates nor restricts the economy. Waller noted that increased demand for Treasury debt issuance versus supply could put upward pressure on R-star, potentially leading to higher borrowing costs. He did not comment on short-term inflation trends or the outlook for interest rates ahead of the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

finance2 years ago

"Federal Reserve Reports Record Annual Operating Loss"

The Federal Reserve reported its largest-ever annual operating loss of $114.3 billion, attributed to its aggressive support for the economy in 2020 and 2021, followed by a rise in interest rates to combat high inflation. These losses contribute to federal deficits, leading to larger Treasury debt auctions. The central bank's losses may persist as long as short-term interest rates remain at current levels, potentially sparking political criticism.

economy2 years ago

The Drain of Liquidity for U.S. Government Debt: Implications for the Fed and the Market

The amount of funds parked by institutional investors at the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repo facility has dropped to $1.1 trillion from a peak of about $2.5 trillion in December, signaling a significant reduction in cash available to buy Treasury debt or other cash-like investments. This comes as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indexes face correction territory, and the Treasury plans to announce further borrowing needs. The decrease in cash parked at the Fed's facility is attributed to heavy Treasury supply to fund the government's large borrowing needs, and it raises concerns about liquidity in the market.

finance2 years ago

Bond Yields Surge to 5% for the First Time in Over a Decade

The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury debt has reached its highest level in 16 years, with bond yields and other interest rates rising as well. This is due to expectations of high future interest rates, as the Federal Reserve has been signaling for months. Bond investors have started believing that interest rates will not fall in the future, thanks to a resilient economy and growing concerns about the deficit. However, historically speaking, current yields are not that high, as they are close to the long-term average. The artificially low rates maintained by the Federal Reserve in recent years may be coming to an end.

economics2 years ago

Global Economy at Risk: US Debt Default Looms with Hard Deadline Approaching.

A default on the US federal debt could have severe consequences for the global economy, with orders for Chinese factories drying up, Swiss investors suffering losses, and Sri Lankan companies unable to deploy dollars. Even a breach of the debt limit for no more than a week could wipe out roughly 1.5 million jobs in the US. If a government default were to last much longer, the consequences would be far more dire, with US economic growth sinking, 7.8 million American jobs vanishing, borrowing rates jumping, the unemployment rate soaring, and a stock-market plunge erasing $10tn in household wealth.