Tag

Bear Market

All articles tagged with #bear market

finance1 month ago

Crypto Market Decline: Causes, Challenges, and Wall Street Impact

The article analyzes whether 2025 has been a true bear market for crypto, noting that while the overall market cap has declined about 16% from the year's start, individual coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum have experienced more significant drops, creating a perception of a bear market. It presents two scenarios: one where the decline is temporary and another where a deeper downturn is imminent, advising investors to adopt cautious, strategic buying approaches based on market developments.

finance1 year ago

Rare Stock Market Event Signals Predictable Outcome

The stock market is experiencing a rare event, with the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio reaching 38.18, a level seen only three times in 153 years. Historically, such high valuations have preceded significant market downturns, as seen during the dot-com bubble and in 2022. While this suggests a potential correction, long-term investors are reminded that economic expansions typically outlast recessions, emphasizing the importance of patience and perspective in investing.

finance1 year ago

"Stocks Poised for Correction, But Analysts Don't Predict Bear Market"

Ned Davis Research predicts a potential correction in global stocks due to excessive investor enthusiasm, but believes a bear market similar to 2020 and 2022 is unlikely. Despite record highs in various equity indexes, the macro outlook doesn't indicate significant inflationary pressures or economic weakness. While investor sentiment is exuberant, historical data suggests a potential pullback as sentiment eases. However, expanding market breadth and increased buying of underperforming stocks may help mitigate losses. Ned Davis Research remains bullish on stocks, recommending a 70% portfolio allocation to equities, despite recent market fluctuations.

finance1 year ago

Navigating the S&P 500's Record Highs: What History Reveals

The S&P 500 closed at a new all-time high, marking the start of a bull market, but historical patterns show that a new high doesn't guarantee a lasting bull market. The average bull market has lasted more than three years, but the duration has varied widely, ranging from four months to nearly 11 years. While there doesn't seem to be a major threat to the economy currently, historical bear markets have been triggered by new events or economic cycles. Instead of trying to time the market, investors are advised to focus on buying high-quality stocks and holding them for the long term.

finance2 years ago

"Maximizing Returns: Navigating the Next Stock Pullback for Profit"

Wall Street strategist Sam Stovall predicts that the S&P 500 could climb another 5% following its recent record close, based on historical market behavior after bear markets. Once the index has recovered from bear-market losses, it typically sees an additional 5% rise before a period of consolidation. The S&P 500 finished higher again on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average also reaching a record high.

finance2 years ago

Bond Market Turmoil: Record Trading Frenzy and Durable Funds Shield Investors

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TLT) experienced a surge in trading volume this week as rising Treasury yields rattled the bond market. The ETF, heavily weighted towards 30-year Treasury bonds, has seen its price decline 14.8% year-to-date. Despite the selloff, TLT has attracted significant inflows, with $18 billion coming in so far this year. Yields on 30-year bonds reached their highest levels since July 2007, while the 10-year yield approached the 5% threshold, causing concern among investors. The rising yields have led to losses across the bond market, with TLT and other popular corporate-bond ETFs on track for their biggest weekly declines of the year. Treasurys are currently experiencing a historic bear market, with prices expected to fall for a third consecutive year in 2023.

finance2 years ago

"Top S&P 500 Performers and Cramer's Stance, Stock Market's Fate Without Banks, Bull Rally's Outlook, and Tech Stocks' Dominance"

CNBC's Jim Cramer discusses the top 10 performers in the S&P 500 since its bear market low. He believes some stocks like Nvidia and Meta have rebounded and have strong prospects, while others like Fair Isaac may be affected by increased mortgage rates. General Electric has improved after years of underperformance, Broadcom needs to close its acquisition of VMware, and Lam Research and Adobe are recommended for their use of AI. Royal Caribbean has benefited from the post-Covid travel boom, Eli Lilly has seen success with its diabetes treatment, and PulteGroup remains strong despite rate hikes.

finance2 years ago

Bond Market in Turmoil: Bank of America Warns of Historic Bear Market

Bank of America analysts have stated that the market for U.S. Treasurys is experiencing the biggest bear market in history, with a decline of almost a quarter since the summer of 2020. This surpasses similar periods in the 19th century. The prolonged bull run in the bond market has come to an end as rising interest rates have led to a significant drop in bond prices. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) exposed to U.S. Treasurys, such as the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, have been heavily impacted, with losses of up to 50%.

finance2 years ago

BofA declares bonds in historic bear market.

Bank of America Global Research has declared the current bond market rout as the "greatest bond bear market of all time," with the U.S. 30-year yield experiencing a peak-to-trough loss of 50%. Bond funds saw $2.5 billion in outflows, while yields on 30-year Treasuries rose above 5% for the first time since 2007. However, the entire bond market has not been affected equally, as yields on two-year Treasuries fell and Treasuries funds saw inflows of $4.6 billion. BofA remains bearish on risk assets due to higher interest rates and prefers to "sell the rips" in the upper half of the S&P 500's range.

finance2 years ago

Bear Market Looms: Brace for Impact

The U.S. stock market is already in or very close to bear market territory, with the average stock on the NYSE down 29% from its recent highs. Transportation stocks, biotech ETFs, and semiconductor ETFs have all experienced significant declines, signaling stress in the economy. Even some of the largest market cap stocks, known as the "Magnificent Seven," have started to decline. The author suggests maintaining a defensive portfolio allocation until it becomes clear that the economy is heading into a recession and the next bear market is imminent. They are closely monitoring the S&P VIX Index and plan to make more significant moves on the long side when the VIX reaches the 35-40 range, indicating panic and capitulation in equities.