All articles tagged with #bear market
Software stocks have fallen this year on AI-disruption fears, leaving Figma down about 74% and Axon Enterprise down around 40% from their peaks. Fool analysts highlight Figma’s solid Q4 growth (about 40% revenue increase) and AI Momentum, and Axon’s 39% revenue growth with AI tools like Draft One and ALPR, plus a long-term revenue path. The result is a potential dip-buy opportunity for patient investors.
Spot bitcoin ETFs have pulled about $4.3 billion in outflows over the past five weeks, with US-listed funds like IBIT and GBTC showing roughly $2.6 billion of outflows in 2026, signaling waning institutional demand even as bitcoin remains in a bear market. The cryptocurrency has traded in a tight $60,000–$70,000 range, with near-term risk centered around $60k support and a potential rally above $72k–$75k. Macro headwinds—higher interest rates, a stronger dollar, and tariff uncertainty—keep pressure on risk assets. Analysts say a sustained rebound would likely require renewed institutional and real-economy adoption of bitcoin as a store of value, rather than a single data point trend.
Kalshi contracts price in a ~58% chance of a 2026 S&P 500 correction (to 6,200 or lower), with another bet near 39% for a roughly 15% drop to 5,900. History suggests bear markets are plausible in 2026 (about 50% odds) and midterm years tend to see notable pullbacks before a post‑election rebound, while earnings are expected to rise about 15% but valuations remain elevated (about 21.5x forward). The takeaway: be cautious, only buy what you’re comfortable holding through drawdowns, and consider keeping a larger cash cushion.
Oracle jumped about 12% during a choppy tech week after unveiling plans to fund AI cloud infrastructure, while other top AI names like Microsoft and Amazon sank into bear market territory and Apple faced margin pressures from higher memory prices; Nvidia drifted lower despite good AI headlines. The Magnificent Seven were all negative year-to-date, underscoring a broader tech rout even as Oracle’s rally suggested shifting sentiment around AI investments.
Bitcoin is on track for its longest losing streak since 2018, potentially five straight red months if February closes red, as BTC trades around $67.6k after a ~52% drop from October’s high and near the 2018 bear drawdown of ~56%. The total crypto market cap sits near $2.33 trillion amid broader macro weakness in equities and ongoing liquidations. Technically, BTC remains below the EMA200 and EMA50 with RSI ~34.7 and ADX ~56, signaling strong bearish momentum. Prediction markets show about a 60% chance BTC tests $55k before $84k, underscoring a continued bearish-to-sideways setup unless a sharp rally materializes.
Bitcoin has plunged about 45% from its October peak and CryptoQuant argues its ultimate bear-market bottom is around $55,000, a level tied to the realized price that has historically provided strong support in bear markets. The firm notes the market is in a bear phase but not in the extreme bear zone, implying the bottom may take months to form and could hover near that level. Other forecasts, like Standard Chartered’s, anticipate near-term downside toward $50,000 before a rebound toward $100,000 later in 2026, with BTC trading around $69,700 at the time of the report.
Software shares slumped into bear-market territory as fears that AI and automation could erode demand for traditional licenses outweighed solid earnings from names like ServiceNow; the IGV ETF is down about 21% from its high, with ServiceNow down over 12% despite a beat and guidance, while Microsoft and SAP also faced declines on slower cloud growth and weaker backlogs, prompting a reevaluation of long‑term revenue potential as executives stress AI’s role in embedding workflows in business decisions.
The article analyzes whether 2025 has been a true bear market for crypto, noting that while the overall market cap has declined about 16% from the year's start, individual coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum have experienced more significant drops, creating a perception of a bear market. It presents two scenarios: one where the decline is temporary and another where a deeper downturn is imminent, advising investors to adopt cautious, strategic buying approaches based on market developments.
Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg predicts a greater than 50% chance that Bitcoin could reach $150K before entering a bear market, citing economic concerns and ETF inflows as key drivers, while other industry leaders like Michael Saylor and Matt Hougan remain optimistic about continued growth and a strong market in the coming years.
Investors holding cash in anticipation of a bear market should consider a disciplined approach, such as dollar-cost averaging and gradually buying quality dividend and large-cap tech stocks during market dips, while avoiding panic and maintaining a diversified portfolio to capitalize on potential downturns.
Wall Street's top bear strategist, Barry Bannister of Stifel, predicts a 14% decline in the S&P 500 by the end of 2025 due to economic slowdown and high valuations, warning of a potential stagflation scenario and a market correction despite recent gains and anticipated rate cuts.
The stock market is experiencing a rare event, with the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio reaching 38.18, a level seen only three times in 153 years. Historically, such high valuations have preceded significant market downturns, as seen during the dot-com bubble and in 2022. While this suggests a potential correction, long-term investors are reminded that economic expansions typically outlast recessions, emphasizing the importance of patience and perspective in investing.
Ned Davis Research predicts a potential correction in global stocks due to excessive investor enthusiasm, but believes a bear market similar to 2020 and 2022 is unlikely. Despite record highs in various equity indexes, the macro outlook doesn't indicate significant inflationary pressures or economic weakness. While investor sentiment is exuberant, historical data suggests a potential pullback as sentiment eases. However, expanding market breadth and increased buying of underperforming stocks may help mitigate losses. Ned Davis Research remains bullish on stocks, recommending a 70% portfolio allocation to equities, despite recent market fluctuations.
The S&P 500 closed at a new all-time high, marking the start of a bull market, but historical patterns show that a new high doesn't guarantee a lasting bull market. The average bull market has lasted more than three years, but the duration has varied widely, ranging from four months to nearly 11 years. While there doesn't seem to be a major threat to the economy currently, historical bear markets have been triggered by new events or economic cycles. Instead of trying to time the market, investors are advised to focus on buying high-quality stocks and holding them for the long term.
Wall Street strategist Sam Stovall predicts that the S&P 500 could climb another 5% following its recent record close, based on historical market behavior after bear markets. Once the index has recovered from bear-market losses, it typically sees an additional 5% rise before a period of consolidation. The S&P 500 finished higher again on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average also reaching a record high.