The article discusses the key events that shaped world politics in 2025, highlighting significant global developments and their impact on international relations, as analyzed by the Financial Times.
A Polish official claimed that the US has warned Russia it would strike Russian targets in Ukraine with conventional weapons if Putin uses nuclear weapons. Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev responded that such US actions would lead to a "world war." Putin has frequently issued nuclear threats since the invasion of Ukraine, and the situation remains tense with global implications.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declares plans to proceed with a military operation in the Gaza Strip city of Rafah, despite ongoing truce talks and Hamas claiming an inability to release 40 hostages. The lack of progress in negotiations raises questions about the fate of the 129 hostages still believed to be in Gaza, including Americans and citizens of other nations. Netanyahu's intention has caused friction with President Biden, who has demanded a cease-fire and warned of reconsidering support for Israel. Netanyahu faces domestic criticism and calls for early elections amid growing frustrations with his leadership.
Pro-Russia candidate Peter Pellegrini wins the Slovak presidential election, aligning the country more closely with Prime Minister Robert Fico's pro-Russian views, further splintering the EU. The EU's center is declining, with upcoming parliamentary elections in France expected to result in losses for centrists. European Council President's call for a war economy and waning support for Ukraine indicate potential financial crisis in Europe, with France and Italy at the epicenter. Support for Ukraine is dwindling in the US and Germany, while French President Macron's efforts may backfire.
As Russia intensifies its airstrikes and advances in Ukraine, President Zelensky faces limited options, from bad to worse, with no end to the fighting in sight. Retaking occupied territory seems unlikely, negotiations with Putin are politically toxic, and a ceasefire is a nonstarter. Aid from the US has been stalled, and Ukraine's military is short on troops and ammunition. Zelensky must manage public expectations and navigate constitutional constraints, while the possibility of a long, drawn-out war looms.
Rwanda is preparing to mark the 30th anniversary of the genocide against its minority Tutsi, with new mass graves still being discovered. President Paul Kagame, praised for bringing relative peace and stability, faces criticism for intolerance of dissent. France and its allies are criticized for lacking the will to stop the genocide. Rwanda's ruling party is firmly in charge, with no opposition, and Kagame has been accused of exploiting Western guilt over the genocide to entrench his grip on power. While the country has made progress in promoting national unity and economic growth, challenges remain, including poverty outside the capital, troubled relations with neighboring countries, and recent controversies over a deal with Britain to host migrants.
As Rwanda prepares to mark the 30th anniversary of the 1994 genocide, the discovery of new mass graves in rural southern Rwanda serves as a stark reminder of the challenges the country faces in achieving lasting peace and reconciliation. Despite government efforts to bridge ethnic divisions and promote unity, the ongoing discoveries of mass graves highlight the need for more to be done for true reconciliation. Traumatized survivors continue to be affected by the new findings, while some Rwandans express disappointment in their neighbors and the slow progress in overcoming the legacy of the genocide.
The deaths of three British aid workers in Gaza have sparked calls for the U.K. to halt arms exports to Israel, with concerns that British-made weapons may have been used in actions violating international law. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak faces growing pressure to suspend arms sales, as legal experts and politicians urge the government to reconsider its alliance with Israel. The U.K.'s defense exports to Israel, though relatively small, have come under scrutiny, and public opinion is increasingly in favor of halting these exports.
Senegal's recent election marked a significant win for democracy, with 44-year-old president Bassirou Diomaye Faye coming to power after a free and fair election despite significant obstacles. The country's successful transition of power demonstrates the emergence of a new political class in Africa and the assertiveness of young voters. Senegal's democracy is supported by robust institutions and a professionalized military, setting it apart from other African nations. Faye's election reflects a positive trend of democratic entrenchment in Africa, particularly among young people, who have high expectations for their economic future and civil rights.
Tens of thousands of Israelis staged the largest anti-government protest since the war in Gaza began, urging a cease-fire deal to free hostages held by Hamas and calling for early elections. Families of hostages blame Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for failures and are now publicly denouncing him. Meanwhile, an Israeli airstrike hit a tent camp at a hospital in central Gaza, killing two Palestinians and wounding 15, as the death toll in Gaza nears 33,000 and concerns about famine grow.
Following a deadly terror attack in Moscow, President Vladimir Putin's response and subsequent landslide election victory signal a consolidation of power reminiscent of autocratic leaders in ex-Soviet countries. The attack has been used to further Putin's narrative of fighting against external threats, while dissent and opposition are being suppressed. The state's control over the narrative and the public's acceptance of diminished democracy raise concerns about the future of Russia under Putin's rule.
Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas has announced the formation of a new interim government amid international pressure for reform, appointing US-educated economist Mohammad Mustafa as prime minister. The new Cabinet aims to address the need for change amid Israel's assault on Gaza and escalating violence in the occupied West Bank. However, the PA faces challenges due to its strained relationship with Hamas, lack of popular support, and failure to hold elections in 18 years. The United States has called for a revitalized PA to administer Gaza after the Israeli war on the territory ends, but Hamas has rejected the new government as illegitimate, advocating for a power-sharing arrangement among all Palestinian factions.
The recent conflict in Gaza has intensified the debate in Israel over whether to draft ultra-Orthodox individuals into military service, as they have been broadly exempt since the nation's founding. With a growing population and increased pressure to end the exemption, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces a deadline to present a military draft plan. While some ultra-Orthodox individuals have shown support for the military, critics argue that the exemption is straining the military and the economy. The issue has become a core tension in Israeli society, with implications for Israeli democracy and political alliances.
Gaza is facing an unprecedented food insecurity crisis, with every resident at risk of famine due to severe restrictions on aid imposed by Israel. The United Nations Security Council vetoed a draft resolution for an immediate ceasefire, despite US backing. The situation has escalated rapidly, with more than 1 million people in Gaza at risk of famine by mid-July. The looming famine could lead to a significant increase in deaths, particularly among children, and has prompted warnings that Israel's role in the crisis could amount to a war crime. Despite efforts to provide aid, the situation remains dire, and the US has faced criticism for not using its leverage to push for a ceasefire or more aid.
Hundreds of protesters in Cuba are demanding food and electricity as the country faces an energy crisis and worsening shortages. The demonstrations, the largest since 2021, have erupted in response to daily power outages, food scarcity, and a lack of public transportation. Cuba's economy has been in decline since the pandemic, exacerbated by sanctions and a financial deficit. The government has responded with limited food rations and blaming the crisis on U.S. sanctions, while some protesters have been detained.