All articles tagged with #exit polls
Exit polls project centre-left Socialist António José Seguro winning Portugal’s presidential runoff by a wide margin (roughly 67–73% to 27–33% for far-right André Ventura), following Seguro’s first-round lead of 31.1% to Ventura’s 23.52% among 11 million eligible voters.
Axis My India and Today's Chanakya exit polls predict a victory for the NDA in Bihar 2025, with the opposition Mahagathbandhan likely falling short of a majority, indicating a possible return to power for Nitish Kumar's alliance.
Preliminary ABC News exit polls indicate a Democratic sweep in Virginia, New Jersey, and New York City, with key issues including the economy, taxes, and cost of living influencing voter preferences. Virginia's voters prioritized the economy and supported Democrat Abigail Spanberger, while New Jersey voters focused on taxes and the economy, largely supporting Democrats, and New York City voters cited cost of living as the top issue, favoring Democratic candidate Zohran Mamdani. The polls reveal demographic and regional variations in voting patterns across these areas.
The 2024 exit polls reveal significant shifts in voter demographics that contributed to President-elect Trump's victory over Vice President Harris. Notably, Latino men showed a substantial swing towards Trump, while the anticipated abortion-rights wave for Harris did not materialize. Younger voters also leaned more towards Trump compared to 2020, and there were mixed results regarding Black male support. Despite concerns, Jewish voters largely remained with the Democrats. These trends highlight evolving voter dynamics that both parties will need to consider for future elections.
Donald Trump has been re-elected as President of the United States in the 2024 election, defeating Vice President Kamala Harris. This marks his return to office after losing to Joe Biden in 2020. NBC News, along with other organizations, conducted exit polls in 10 key states to analyze changes in voting demographics between the 2020 and 2024 elections, focusing on factors such as gender, race, age, education, party affiliation, and voting history.
Early exit poll results from the US elections indicate that democracy and the economy are the top concerns for voters, with more than a third prioritizing democracy. The economy, traditionally a leading issue, remains significant but within the margin of error. The data reveals sharp partisan divides, with Harris supporters prioritizing democracy and Trump supporters focusing on the economy. Both groups express concern about the state of democracy and potential election-related violence. Confidence in the election's fairness is higher among Harris supporters, while Trump supporters are more divided.
Early exit polls for the 2024 presidential election reveal that the economy and the state of democracy are the top issues for voters, with Trump supporters prioritizing the economy and Harris supporters focusing on democracy. A significant portion of voters express fear if the opposing side wins, and about 70% anticipate election-related violence. This election marks the first time exit polls have addressed potential violence. Despite widespread dissatisfaction with the country's direction, most voters made their candidate choice well before September, with a small percentage deciding in the final week.
In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, voters expressed significant concern over the state of democracy and the economy, with 35% prioritizing democracy and 31% the economy, according to NBC News Exit Polls. Abortion and immigration followed as key issues. The poll revealed widespread pessimism, with three-quarters of voters feeling negatively about the country's direction. Voter priorities varied between supporters of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, with Harris voters focusing on democracy and abortion, while Trump voters prioritized the economy and immigration. President Biden's approval rating stood at 41%, lower than Trump's in 2020.
India Today and Times Now have released conflicting exit poll predictions for the Andhra Pradesh assembly elections, raising questions about their credibility. India Today forecasts a win for the Telugu Desam Party-led NDA, while Times Now predicts a victory for the YSR Congress Party. Both channels' predictions vary significantly, making it uncertain which will be closer to the actual results.
The Sensex and Nifty indices hit record highs, driven by exit poll predictions of political stability and robust GDP growth, adding Rs 12.48 lakh crore to market cap. Major gainers included Adani Ports and NTPC. Analysts caution about potential volatility ahead of election results.
Aaraa Mastan and Venu Swamy are making high-stakes predictions about the YCP's victory in the upcoming election, despite most national exit polls favoring the TDP+ alliance. Their reputations are on the line, with potential career impacts based on the accuracy of their forecasts.
In Andhra Pradesh, exit polls are showing inconsistent results, with some predicting a win for YCP and others for the TDP alliance, raising concerns about the credibility of these polls. This inconsistency has led to jokes about calling them "kitchen recipe polls" instead.
Exit polls indicate that Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is poised to secure a decisive majority in India's election, potentially extending Modi's tenure for a third term. Official results will be announced on June 4.
Exit polls predict a record win for Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in India's elections, potentially securing a rare third term with a significant majority. Despite challenges like unemployment and rising prices, Modi's popularity appears to have bolstered the BJP's prospects, even in traditionally opposition strongholds. The opposition alliance remains hopeful but exit polls suggest a continued dominance for Modi's party.
Among numerous exit polls, only Aaraa Mastan and Smart Exit Polls are considered genuine, having conducted ground-level surveys. Both show similar projections, with Aaraa Mastan predicting specific leaders' defeats and Smart Exit Poll providing a range of possible outcomes. National media exit polls are deemed unreliable.