All articles tagged with #decoupling
The US has warned that imposing new export controls on China could lead to a 'decoupling' of the two economies, potentially affecting global economic and political relations.
Bitcoin and gold, traditionally seen as correlated assets, are currently experiencing a decoupling, with Bitcoin's price rising while gold's has recently declined. This shift, highlighted by a negative correlation, suggests a potential liquidity shift favoring Bitcoin, as it continues to reach new all-time highs. The decoupling could lead to increased capital flow into Bitcoin, enhancing its position as a leading asset in the market.
France's Finance Minister, Bruno Le Maire, stated that France seeks improved access to the Chinese market and a more balanced trade relationship, rather than decoupling from China. Le Maire emphasized the need to avoid legislative hurdles and barriers to accessing Chinese markets. While European officials aim to "de-risk" their dependence on China, Le Maire clarified that this does not imply viewing China as a risk, but rather ensuring supply chain independence. France is working on a plan to focus its and Europe's electric vehicle subsidies to enhance competitiveness, and welcomes Chinese investments in the automotive industry.
Despite the efforts of US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to improve US-China economic ties, the decoupling between the two countries continues to gain momentum. The ongoing trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts have led to a growing trend of countries diversifying their supply chains away from China, as well as increasing scrutiny of Chinese investments. This decoupling process is driven by concerns over national security, intellectual property theft, and human rights issues, and is likely to have long-term implications for global trade and economic relations.
Chinese Premier Li Qiang has rejected "decoupling" and urged Europe to cooperate with China on global problems such as climate change and poverty alleviation. Li's six-day tour of the EU's two biggest economies is his first overseas trip since he became premier in March, and the latest of Beijing's charm offensives in Europe. Throughout the trip, Li urged Paris and Brussels to maintain strategic autonomy and boost cooperation with Beijing to "build more resilient supply chains".
Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang urges China and Europe to oppose the US policy of decoupling and work together to avoid a "new cold war". He emphasizes that China exports "sureness" rather than risk to the world. This comes as EU foreign ministers review their China policy and ahead of the G7 leaders' summit in Japan where China ties will be a key topic of discussion.
Lithuania's Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis has warned that the EU must prepare for the risk of a potential "de-coupling" from China, similar to the break with Moscow over Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2014. While not advocating for a de-coupling, Landsbergis pointed to the need for the EU to be prepared for a potential deterioration in relations with China, particularly if conflict were to erupt over Taiwan. The EU has been struggling to recalibrate its relations with China, with some leaders calling for a "de-risking" but not a de-coupling from China.
Bitcoin and Ether have decoupled from traditional assets, implying that investors view the impact of monetary policy differently for digital assets than for stocks. The reduced activity in BTC and ETH volumes implies that investors are staying on the sidelines to a certain extent, and perpetual funding rates for both cryptocurrencies remain positive, indicating bullishness. "Whales" are accumulating both bitcoin and ether, with the supply held by addresses with more than 100,000 BTC and 100,000 ETH moving higher.
While China has sought to divide the US and Europe in their approach to Beijing, the European Union has decisively changed its approach to China in the past year, using milder language but erecting economic defenses against China that in some cases go further than the US. The real obstacle to decoupling from Beijing isn't Western governments but Western companies that have bet heavily on China.