Elon Musk predicts 50% chance of explosion on Starship's first orbital launch

Elon Musk has hinted that SpaceX's Starship rocket may explode on its first orbital launch, estimating a 50% chance of success. The rocket is designed to be fully reusable and could revolutionize the orbital economy by making it cheaper to send payloads into space. If successful, Starship will be the world's first fully reusable orbital rocket. SpaceX is building multiple Starship rockets, and Musk estimates an 80% chance that one of them will reach orbit this year.