Investor Michael Burry is betting against Oracle by owning put options and shorting its stock, citing concerns over its debt and aggressive cloud expansion, despite Oracle's recent gains driven by AI demand.
Options volatility is expected to rise regardless of the S&P 500's direction, driven by market fragility, US policy uncertainty, and rally chasing, with the VIX remaining elevated and signaling increased market stress and potential bubble characteristics.
Bitcoin's recent record rally has led options traders to bet on a potential rise to $140,000, with open interest around that strike price, amid a surge in demand driven by safe-haven demand during a US government shutdown and increased spot market activity. Despite the rally, traders remain cautious about volatility and potential corrections, with some seeing opportunities in overbought conditions.
The article discusses the expected earnings reports and implied stock moves based on options prices for several major companies on August 4, 2025, highlighting the importance of options activity in predicting stock movements and offering tools for investors to analyze these moves.
This week, major companies like AMD, Disney, Pfizer, and others are reporting earnings, with expected stock moves based on options volatility analysis. Options premiums tend to rise before earnings due to uncertainty and drop after, reflecting the volatility crush. The article provides specific expected percentage moves for each company's stock around their earnings announcements, highlighting the increased risk and opportunity in options trading during this period.
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF options had a historic debut, trading nearly $1.9 billion in notional value on the first day. Key observations included a "volatility smile" and a strong preference for call options, with the most traded contract exceeding position limits. Despite expectations, MicroStrategy's options remained robust. The launch of BITB options is anticipated, potentially attracting non-institutional investors. The trading volumes contributed to Bitcoin reaching new highs, though position limits may impact future volumes.
BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF, the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), saw an unprecedented $1.9 billion in options traded on its first day, significantly impacting Bitcoin's price, which hit a new high of over $94,000. The high trading volume and bullish sentiment, indicated by a low put/call ratio, suggest strong market confidence in Bitcoin's continued rise. This launch has been compared to the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF, which had a much smaller debut, and is seen as a major development in the cryptocurrency market.
Options trading on BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF will commence on Tuesday, marking a significant development in Bitcoin exposure on Wall Street. The Options Clearing Corporation has cleared the way for these options to be listed on Nasdaq, following SEC approval. This move is expected to enhance liquidity and potentially increase volatility in the Bitcoin ETF market. BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF has already attracted significant inflows, and the addition of options could further boost institutional interest.
BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust options are set to begin trading tomorrow, marking a significant development in the cryptocurrency market. The Options Clearing Corporation has confirmed its readiness to clear and settle these options, following SEC and CFTC approvals. The iBIT Trust, which launched in January, has amassed $43 billion in assets and holds nearly 472,000 Bitcoin, reflecting strong institutional demand. This move comes amid a surge in Bitcoin ETF trading volumes, coinciding with Donald Trump's recent reelection as US president.
Market volatility is decreasing as risk events like inflation data and Nvidia earnings pass without significant impact, and high demand for option selling is pushing volatility even lower this month.
As the NFL draft approaches, the Cleveland Browns are considering various options for their draft picks, with plenty of choices available to bolster their team for the upcoming season.
Texas Rangers' Josh Jung fractured his wrist after being hit by a pitch, adding to his history of injuries. The team is considering options to replace him at third base, including Ezequiel Duran, Josh Smith, and potential call-ups from the minor leagues. Jung has previously undergone surgeries for fractures and will now face another round of rehab and recovery, with the team hoping for a swift healing process.
The launch of options on Reddit drew a surge of bullish bets, leading to a 30% surge in Reddit shares on Monday. The options trading leaned towards bullish bets, with calls conveying the right to buy shares at a fixed price in the future being the most actively traded contracts. Analysts suggested that the bullish options activity may have contributed to the stock rally, as dealers who sold the calls hedged their risk by buying the stock as it advanced. This surge in options activity is reminiscent of the trading seen in meme stocks like GameStop, but experts believe a direct connection is unlikely.
The launch of options on Reddit drew a surge of bullish bets, propelling the social media platform's stock up by 30% on the New York Stock Exchange, following last week's strong market debut. With 90,000 Reddit options changing hands, the trading leaned towards bullish bets, particularly on call options with strike prices of $50 to $75. Analysts noted that the bullish options activity may have contributed to Monday's stock rally, with some drawing parallels to the options dynamic seen in meme stocks like AMC Entertainment and GameStop.
Apple Inc (AAPL) stock, which has a 21.7% year-over-year lead but is down 6.5% in 2024, is showing signs of potentially reaching a new record high, with the stock currently down 0.2% at $180.76. Historical data suggests that the stock may soon reach a fresh peak, and options are currently affordably priced, making it an opportune time for speculation.