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Forecast Models

All articles tagged with #forecast models

East Coast Faces Possible Bomb Cyclone This Weekend: Three Snow Scenarios
weather1 month ago

East Coast Faces Possible Bomb Cyclone This Weekend: Three Snow Scenarios

Forecasters expect a powerful winter storm to form off the Carolinas this weekend and intensify into a bomb cyclone, though its exact track remains uncertain. Models outline three main scenarios: a coastal storm that spares major Northeast cities, a near-coast path bringing heavy snow from the Mid-Atlantic to New England, or a farther-out system that stays offshore with minimal impacts. Small track shifts (around 100–200 miles) could mean the difference between significant snow for the I-95 corridor and a cold, windy weekend elsewhere, so residents should monitor forecasts for potential blizzard winds, coastal impacts, and beach erosion.

DMV braces for weekend snowstorm as forecasts diverge on mix and totals
weather1 month ago

DMV braces for weekend snowstorm as forecasts diverge on mix and totals

A significant DMV winter storm is on track for the weekend, with most areas expected to see 8-14 inches of snow and up to 12-18 inches northwest, though southeastern zones may see less if a Sunday afternoon transition to sleet or freezing rain occurs. The system arrives late Saturday night and lingers into early Monday; models differ on moisture and a mid-level warm nose, with the GFS staying snow-heavy while ECMWF indicates mixing, so totals remain in flux as forecasters monitor the snow-mix line. Travel will be hazardous due to icing after the storm, and NOAA is deploying aircraft to sample the storm energy to improve forecast accuracy.

"Double Trouble: Consecutive Snow Systems Set to Hit Midwest and Great Lakes"
weather1 year ago

"Double Trouble: Consecutive Snow Systems Set to Hit Midwest and Great Lakes"

Two separate weather systems are expected to bring much-needed moisture to Minnesota, with the first system likely to bring 2-5 inches of snow from Thursday night into Friday morning, favoring the northern Twin Cities. The second system from Sunday through Tuesday could bring heavy precipitation totals of 1-3 inches, with the potential for a snow-to-rain transition, especially in southern Minnesota. This comes as a relief for the state, where about 75 percent is currently experiencing drought conditions.

Minnesota Winter Weather Update: Snow Trending North with Potential Plowable Accumulation
weather2 years ago

Minnesota Winter Weather Update: Snow Trending North with Potential Plowable Accumulation

A major winter storm is expected to move northward into Minnesota, potentially bringing heavy snow to the Twin Cities by Friday. Winter storm warnings are in place for parts of the North Shore, and a winter storm watch has been issued for southeast Minnesota. The storm could bring widespread accumulating snow and strong winds, with forecast models suggesting significant snowfall reaching as far north as the Twin Cities. Snowfall totals are still uncertain, but the potential for plowable, wind-driven snow is increasing for late Thursday night through Friday.

"Anticipating Snow: Impacts and Forecasts for Western Washington and Northwest Oregon"
weather2 years ago

"Anticipating Snow: Impacts and Forecasts for Western Washington and Northwest Oregon"

Forecast models for Western Washington show a wide range of possibilities for snow this week, with light snow seen in the South Sound and potential for wet snow showers in King and Snohomish counties. Thursday may bring some light snow or flurries, with the best chance for consistent snow in the North Sound and North Interior. Friday's forecast remains uncertain, with the potential for major lowland snow, sleet, or freezing rain depending on the track of a low-pressure area. The forecast models are expected to converge on a common solution in the next couple of days, but preparations for winter weather impacts on Friday and Saturday are advised.

Severe Weather Strikes Central North Carolina, Garner Community Unites
weather2 years ago

Severe Weather Strikes Central North Carolina, Garner Community Unites

A dynamic low-pressure system and cold front are expected to bring heavy rain and strong winds to Central North Carolina on Sunday. There is a small chance that some of the cold air will catch up to the precipitation late Sunday night, potentially producing areas of light snow. However, this is a low-end possibility and no impacts or accumulation are expected. Surface temperatures are well above freezing, so no snow accumulations are anticipated.

Wintry Weather Causes School Delays and Closings in Central North Carolina and Virginia
weather2 years ago

Wintry Weather Causes School Delays and Closings in Central North Carolina and Virginia

A dynamic low-pressure system and cold front are expected to bring heavy rain and strong winds to Central North Carolina on Sunday. There is a small chance that some cold air may catch up to the precipitation late Sunday night, resulting in areas of light snow. However, the possibility of snow accumulation is low, and surface temperatures are well above freezing. The CBS 17 Storm Team will continue to provide updates on the situation.

Multiple Tropical Systems Expected to Develop in Atlantic This Week, NHC Advisories Issued.
weather2 years ago

Multiple Tropical Systems Expected to Develop in Atlantic This Week, NHC Advisories Issued.

The National Hurricane Center will begin issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Three, which is located midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles. The forecast models have low confidence on where it will go over the next 10 days, but a second wave off the coast of Africa has a 40% chance of development in the next seven days.