"2024 El Niño Forecast: Record-Breaking Heat Across the Globe"

New research predicts a 90 percent chance of record high global average surface temperatures leading up to June 2024, largely due to the impact of El Niño. The heat is expected to hit parts of Asia particularly hard, raising the risk of drought, wildfires, and other cascading effects. While a moderate El Niño is most likely, it still has the potential to push global temperatures to new highs, with a strong El Niño posing even greater risks to regions such as the Caribbean, South China Sea, Amazon, and Alaska.