Near-term inflation bets spike to four-year high as oil shock widens
TL;DR Summary
One-year breakeven inflation jumped to 4.62%—the highest since June 2022—while the two-year rose to 3.18% and the five-year to 2.58%, as Middle East tensions push near-term inflation expectations higher and crude oil stays around $100 a barrel. The move signals persistent inflation concerns that could complicate Federal Reserve policy and weigh on retirees and markets.
Topics:business#bond-markets#breakeven-inflation-rate#federal-reserve#inflation-expectations#markets#oil-prices
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- Market Minute: War, oil and inflation swaps The Real Economy Blog
- War spurs global inflation fears as energy costs surge Semafor
- Rates Spark: Inflation expectations on the march again ING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING THINK
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