Japan's Yen at a Crossroads: Debt, Yields, and the Asset Sell-off Option

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Source: Robin J Brooks | Substack
Japan's Yen at a Crossroads: Debt, Yields, and the Asset Sell-off Option
Photo: Robin J Brooks | Substack
TL;DR Summary

Japan's yen is weakening as markets demand higher interest rates, but raising rates risks a fiscal crisis given gross debt around 240% of GDP while net debt is about 130%. Official FX intervention is unlikely to stop the slide; the more viable path is to reduce gross debt by selling government assets, which could ease depreciation, though illiquid assets and policy risks complicate any such move.

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