All articles tagged with #recession indicators
Consumer confidence in the US has sharply declined in September, with key indicators suggesting increased recession risks, despite Wall Street's optimism. The Expectations Index fell below recession warning levels, and consumer sentiment about current economic conditions has worsened, raising concerns about future economic stability amid potential data reporting disruptions due to the government shutdown.
The article discusses various serious and humorous indicators that people have noticed as signs of an impending recession, including changes in fashion, music, employment patterns, consumer spending, and social behaviors, reflecting widespread economic anxiety.
The article explores both traditional and humorous modern signs of recession, including social media trends and old theories like skirt lengths and underwear sales, suggesting that current indicators may not definitively signal an upcoming recession, but reflect the psychological mood of economic uncertainty.
Two recession indicators, the Sahm Rule and the yield curve, are on the verge of flashing, but stock market investors can still rest easy as the drivers behind each indicator are different than they were in the past. The rise in unemployment is being driven by an increase in labor supply, not economic weakness, and the yield curve is narrowing due to stronger-than-expected economic growth prospects. These factors suggest that the potential flashing of these indicators might not be enough to cause a recession or significantly impact the stock market and broader economy.