Tag

Office Sector

All articles tagged with #office sector

finance1 year ago

"Real Estate Crisis Hits Banks in Asia-Pacific and US: Investors Sound Alarm"

Fitch Ratings reports that banks in the Asia-Pacific region have exposure to troubled US commercial real estate (CRE), particularly office and retail properties, with some banks holding higher levels of US CRE loans than others. While exposure to US property, including CRE, is generally less than 2% of lending for publicly disclosed banks, the actual extent of exposure remains unclear due to limited data disclosure. The report highlights that US banks' exposure to US office CRE and US CRE debt in general is not as severe as initially feared, as the debt is held globally, with global investors and banks also bearing the risk.

real-estate2 years ago

US Regional Banks Face Bankruptcy Alarm as Commercial Real Estate Values Plummet and Office Loans Sink

Commercial real estate values are expected to suffer a $480 billion decline next year, following a $590 billion loss in 2023, due to weak growth and high interest rates, according to a report by Capital Economics. The office sector is particularly distressed, facing both elevated interest rates and a structural change in how people work post-pandemic. Falling revenues and rising capitalization rates are predicted to lead to a 15% decline in office values from next year to 2025. The apartment sector also faces headwinds, with rental affordability still a concern and a wave of new apartments entering the market. However, the retail sector is expected to be a bright spot, with retail property predicted to post annual total returns close to 6%. The industrial sector is considered overvalued, and property values are expected to decline 20% peak to trough.

real-estate2 years ago

Office Real Estate Sector Faces Mounting Trouble: Lack of Liquidity Impedes Loan Availability

The office real estate sector is facing significant challenges due to the shift towards remote work and a lack of liquidity in the marketplace. Office owners are uncertain if demand will return, leading to a "reset in value" and a focus on better buildings with amenities. Keystone, a commercial real estate firm, has been refinancing and exploring office to multifamily conversions to adapt to the changing market. However, affordable housing remains a challenge due to high construction costs, borrowing costs, and investor priorities. Mixed-use zoning and location play a crucial role in successful conversions, but zoning approval can be time-consuming. Despite the difficulties, Keystone has managed to work with lenders and navigate the current market conditions.

real-estate2 years ago

"Remote Work Exposes Vulnerabilities in NYC's Commercial Real Estate, CEO's Warnings Proven Right"

Craig Deitelzweig, CEO of Marx Realty, warns that commodity buildings in the office sector are in deep trouble, a concern he has been highlighting for the past six years. With the shift to remote work and changing demands, office spaces need to offer amenities and a welcoming environment to attract tenants. Deitelzweig emphasizes the importance of repositioning assets to meet the expectations of today's tenants. As interest rates rise and debt comes due, many property owners may have no choice but to hand their assets back to lenders. This could lead to a surplus of supply in the market, requiring adjustments such as transforming commodity buildings into hospitality-infused offices or repurposing them for other uses. Marx Realty, positioned well with no debt coming due in the next two years, has seen success in leasing office space by focusing on location and thoughtful design.

real-estate2 years ago

Navigating Recession: Insights from Experts.

CBRE's chief global economist Richard Barkham predicts a mild recession in 2023, but long-term factors like an "economic revival" in 2024 will benefit commercial and residential real estate. However, real estate values will decrease during the recession, with office values potentially falling by more than a third. Multifamily housing is oversupplied, which could freeze rent increases in certain markets. Despite this, values should rebound "relatively quickly" compared to other slumps, with industrial taking two years, multifamily three years, and retail four years. Offices could take nine years to recover their values.

real-estate2 years ago

Remote Work Accelerates Office Real Estate Crisis, Study Shows

Researchers from New York University and Columbia University have revised their estimate of the effect of remote work on office property values, suggesting a 44% decline in New York City office values by 2029 and a nationwide value destruction of $506 billion in just a three-year period from 2019 to 2022. Remote work has led to significant drops in lease revenue, occupancy, lease renewal rates, and market rents in the office sector within commercial real estate, affecting cash flow at a time when the Federal Reserve has aggressively raised interest rates. However, the effects are not uniform across the country or across properties, with higher quality buildings faring better.