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Marko Kolanovic

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finance2 years ago

"Veteran Strategist Warns of Complacency Amid Risk-Off Shift in Overbought Markets"

Veteran strategist David Rosenberg is "maximum" bearish on U.S. stocks, citing similarities to the setup in 2022 and warning of extreme readings in positioning, sentiment, and technicals. He advises investors to consider financials, particularly larger banks and insurance companies, as well as energy, communication services, and utilities. Rosenberg also suggests considering locking in yields on front-end T-bills and turning constructive on commodities, particularly food/agricultural products. Stock futures are lower, Treasury yields are climbing, and oil and gold prices are up, while the Nikkei 225 index hits a 33-year high. In other news, Juniper Networks stock is up on reports of a potential acquisition, and Samsung Electronics forecasts plunging fourth-quarter profit.

via MarketWatch|
#bearish#finance#financials
finance2 years ago

JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic Predicts 20% Market Plunge and Recession Warning

JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, the firm's chief market strategist, is warning of a potential 20% market plunge in the S&P 500 due to high interest rates. He suggests that investors consider holding cash as a protection strategy. Kolanovic believes that staying at the current level of interest rates could lead to a recession. While he doesn't anticipate an immediate sharp pullback, he warns that the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, including Apple, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, Nvidia, Tesla, and Microsoft, are particularly vulnerable to steep losses. Kolanovic also highlights the stress on consumers, citing delinquencies in credit cards and auto loans.

via CNBC|
#finance#interest-rates#jpmorgan
finance2 years ago

Kolanovic predicts US stock struggle without Fed cut.

JPMorgan's top markets strategist, Marko Kolanovic, warns that US equities are in for a challenging second half of the year due to the lagging impacts of aggressive monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve. He predicts a looming downturn that threatens to thwart this year's rally, citing deteriorating business conditions and slowing consumer demand. Kolanovic's pessimism comes amid a sharpening divergence in views on Wall Street, with some of his sell-side peers dialing back their gloomy outlooks in recent weeks while others stay risk-averse.

via Yahoo Finance|
#federal-reserve#finance#jpmorgan
finance2 years ago

Traders Beware: Low Volatility and New Fear Gauge Signal Sell-Offs

JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic warns that the stock market is too calm despite facing headwinds such as rising interest rates, credit tightening, and macro risks. He attributes the low volatility to temporary technical factors, specifically the dominance of option sellers, which artificially suppresses perceptions of macro fundamental risk. Kolanovic recommends selling bounces and taking profits to reduce exposure.

via Markets Insider|
#finance#jpmorgan#marko-kolanovic
finance2 years ago

JPMorgan's Kolanovic warns of high risk for Minsky moment in markets.

JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic warns of increasing chances of a "Minsky moment" due to bank failures, market turmoil, and ongoing economic uncertainty as central banks battle high inflation. The term refers to the end of an economic boom that has encouraged investors to take on so much risk that lending exceeds what borrowers can repay, leading to a market meltdown. Kolanovic recommends being cautious on risk assets, going underweight value, and being defensive in portfolio allocation. He expects the Fed to opt for a quarter-point rate hike on Wednesday and predicts that the first quarter will end up being the high point for stocks this year.

via Yahoo Finance|
#central-banks#finance#jpmorgan