
Global rally may be winding down, warn veteran analysts
Veteran analysts warn that the ongoing global market rally could be running on borrowed time, with stretched valuations and geopolitical risks raising the odds of a coming correction.
All articles tagged with #geopolitical risks

Veteran analysts warn that the ongoing global market rally could be running on borrowed time, with stretched valuations and geopolitical risks raising the odds of a coming correction.

Global credit markets are showing resilience with a surge in bond issuance totaling $61 billion in one day, indicating investor confidence despite geopolitical tensions, driven by strong corporate fundamentals and economic optimism at the start of 2026.

Asian defense stocks continued their rally amid mixed regional markets and ongoing geopolitical tensions following the U.S. attack on Venezuela and the capture of Nicolas Maduro, with notable gains in Japan and South Korea, while U.S. markets reached new highs despite the geopolitical developments.

The US dollar reached a two-week high following the capture of Venezuela's President Maduro, increasing geopolitical tensions and impacting Latin American currencies, especially the Mexican peso, amid uncertain regional and US policy outlooks.

China's financial regulator has instructed major banks to report their exposure to Venezuela amid increased US sanctions and political upheaval, highlighting concerns over potential risks to China's loans and investments in Venezuela, which amount to billions mainly in energy and infrastructure projects.

Gold and silver prices rose following the US's capture of Venezuelan President Maduro, increasing geopolitical concerns and prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets. Despite the political turmoil, regional stock markets in Asia showed gains, and oil prices remained relatively stable, with analysts suggesting limited immediate impact on energy prices.

Gold and silver prices surged following the US capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of further US interest rate cuts, with analysts predicting continued gains supported by global economic risks and political developments.

Precious metals, especially gold, started 2026 strongly, boosted by hopes of U.S. rate cuts and geopolitical tensions, with gold reaching near record highs and other metals like silver and platinum also posting significant gains, driven by global economic concerns and increased demand.

Oil prices slightly declined at the start of 2026 after experiencing their largest annual loss since 2020, amid oversupply concerns and geopolitical tensions including the Ukraine war and Venezuela sanctions. Brent crude closed at $60.75 and WTI at $57.32, with analysts expecting a range-bound market around $60-65 per barrel in 2026.

Gold prices rebounded in 2025, marking its best year since 1979, driven by geopolitical tensions, interest rate easing, and central bank purchases, with silver, platinum, and palladium also experiencing significant gains despite recent volatility.
Gold and silver prices fell sharply after reaching record highs, as investors took profits amid a slightly stronger U.S. dollar and ongoing geopolitical tensions, despite supportive factors like expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts and inflation cooling.

Nvidia has made its largest acquisition to date by purchasing Groq for $20 billion, strengthening its AI capabilities amid rising geopolitical and regulatory challenges, including investigations into its supply chain and potential chip smuggling into China.

Oil prices remained stable as market concerns about geopolitical tensions, including attacks on Russian vessels and potential US sales of seized Venezuelan crude, balanced against bearish supply fundamentals and high storage levels, with analysts predicting a well-supplied market in the near term.

The US Coast Guard is pursuing a sanctioned oil tanker near Venezuela, marking the third interception in less than a week, which could impact oil prices and increase geopolitical tensions related to sanctions evasion and regional conflicts.

Nvidia's stock rally paused after reaching a $5 trillion valuation due to ongoing U.S.-China tensions that limit Chinese sales and cloud the outlook, despite strong AI demand from U.S. tech giants. While U.S. cloud companies increase AI investments, Chinese restrictions keep Nvidia's revenue from China at zero, creating near-term challenges. Market sentiment remains cautious, but Nvidia retains a strong buy rating with potential upside if geopolitical issues ease and demand from cloud customers remains robust.