Tag

Economic Cycles

All articles tagged with #economic cycles

finance1 year ago

Stock Market Hits New Highs Amid Cautious Optimism

The stock market has reached unprecedented valuation levels, with the Buffett Indicator surpassing 200% for the first time, suggesting stocks are historically expensive compared to GDP. Historically, such high valuations have preceded significant market downturns, as seen during the dot-com bubble and the financial crisis. Despite these warning signs, historical data shows that economic expansions and bull markets tend to last longer than recessions and bear markets, highlighting the importance of patience for long-term investors.

economics1 year ago

"Assessing the U.S. Economic Outlook: Fed's Jefferson Foresees Delayed Rate Cuts Amid Modest Inflation Decline"

Vice Chair Jefferson discussed the U.S. economic outlook and monetary policy, highlighting the resilience of consumer spending, improvements in the labor market, and progress towards the Federal Reserve's 2 percent inflation objective. Drawing from past monetary policy cycles, Jefferson emphasized the need for vigilance and nimbleness in policymaking, especially in response to potential adverse shocks. He also outlined key risks ahead, including the potential for even more resilient consumer spending, weakening employment, and elevated geopolitical risks, while expressing cautious optimism about progress on inflation and the need to review incoming data for future monetary policy decisions.