Accelerated Arctic Warming Speeds Up 2-Degree Celsius Increase by Eight Years

A new modeling study led by UCL researchers reveals that faster warming in the Arctic will result in the global temperature reaching a 2-degree Celsius rise eight years earlier than if the region were warming at the average global rate. The study highlights the significant impact of rapid Arctic warming on breaching critical climate thresholds set by the Paris Agreement and emphasizes the need for extensive monitoring and understanding of the processes occurring in the Arctic to improve global temperature rise forecasts. The study does not quantify the indirect effects of Arctic warming on the rest of the world but estimates its direct contribution to global temperature increases.