Tariffs to replace income tax would cost far more than they save

TL;DR Summary
Trump floated using tariffs to replace the income tax, but tariffs have never generated near enough revenue to substitute for tax income (roughly $195B in customs duties vs about $2.6T in income tax). Higher tariffs would shrink imports and push buyers to domestic substitutes, limiting revenue gains. Complicating the plan: IEEPA tariffs were overturned by the Supreme Court, and officials describe tariff revenue as a melting ice cube, making full replacement of income tax unlikely and potentially costly for consumers and the broader economy.
- Trump promised to replace taxes with tariffs. Here's what it would cost Axios
- Four Supreme Court justices face Trump at State of the Union days after tariffs ruling NBC News
- Trump Softens Criticism of Supreme Court Over Tariff Ruling Bloomberg.com
- Trump shook hands with SCOTUS justices he called a 'disgrace' Politico
- After tariffs case, this State of the Union could be Trump’s strangest SCOTUS showdown yet MS NOW
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