Iran Conflict Tests the U.S. Economic Engine

Axios argues the Iran war will test but not derail the U.S. economy, which has shown resilience due to its size, diversity, and adaptability. Oil prices have risen on Hormuz threats, but the United States’ energy independence—now a net oil exporter—helps cushion volatility. Growth remains positive (about 2.7% in Q1 per the Atlanta Fed) and unemployment sits around 4.4%. The bond market continues to reward the U.S. with low borrowing costs (10-year about 4.28%), underpinned by global demand for Treasuries and the dollar’s reserve-currency status. Risks include AI-driven labor disruption and potential oil-supply shocks, but the economy otherwise maintains forward momentum amid volatility and cautious consumer sentiment.