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Demand Forecasting

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California's water-use reality beats forecasts, easing drought pressures
planet-earth1 month ago

California's water-use reality beats forecasts, easing drought pressures

A Virginia Tech study finds California's water use from 2000 to 2020 was consistently lower than suppliers’ projections, with five-year demand overestimates averaging 25% and 20-year estimates about 74%. The drop in per-capita demand, driven by efficiency programs and landscaping rebates, decouples use from population growth and supports drought resilience, but it also implies forecasts may be too high, potentially raising costs if extra supply or infrastructure is needed. The research highlights ongoing opportunities to save water across residential, commercial, and agricultural sectors and the importance of accurate forecasting for long-term planning.