Economists predict that the September jobs report will show a steady pace of hiring, indicating a resilient U.S. economy that has contributed to the recent bond-market rout. The report is expected to reveal an estimated addition of 170,000 jobs and a near-historic low unemployment rate.
The S&P 500 has exceeded analysts' forecasts for the first half of 2023, defying economic uncertainties. Despite concerns about growth and interest rates, the market has shown resilience, with technology stocks leading the rally. Analysts hold divergent views on the market outlook, but there is a consensus for a strong finish to the year. Factors driving the rally include the positive impact of artificial intelligence technology on corporate profits, the government and central bank's intervention during times of concern, and the market's disregard for the Federal Reserve's warnings of more rate hikes. The market's near-term trajectory will likely be influenced by the rate trajectory and incoming economic data.