China's Consumer Prices Drop in October, But Deflationary Spiral Unlikely

TL;DR Summary
China's consumer prices fell by 0.2% in October, mainly due to food-price deflation, while factory-gate prices contracted further. Analysts argue that China is not trapped in a deflationary spiral but call for further policy support to mitigate downward risks. The decline in core inflation and signs of renewed economic weakness indicate vulnerability to negative shocks, but expectations of upcoming data suggest a firming trend. Analysts do not anticipate a deflationary spiral, projecting that inflation will remain low but rise gradually in the coming months.
- China analysts say October price drops do not portend ‘deflationary spiral’ South China Morning Post
- China Consumer Prices Fall, Renewing Fears of Deflation The New York Times
- China's consumer prices swing to declines in October CNBC
- China Back In Deflation as Economic Recovery Remains Fragile Despite Stimulus Bloomberg
- Defense exports climb to $4.3 billion in 10 months Hurriyet Daily News
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