Prediction markets push US shutdown odds to about 80% as DHS funding stalls
TL;DR Summary
Prediction markets priced in roughly 80% odds of a US government shutdown by Jan. 31 after Senate Democrats blocked a $1.2 trillion DHS funding package, with Kalshi and Polymarket showing sharply higher odds amid a Senate filibuster fight and a snowstorm complicating votes.
- Odds of a government shutdown surge to 80% Seeking Alpha
- Trump: There is ‘probably’ going to be another government shutdown Politico
- Bitcoin slides near $87,000 as US government shutdown fears weigh on crypto The Block
- Government shutdown odds by the end of this week hit 77% as Capitol Hill fractures over Minnesota shooting Fortune
- Prediction Markets See Nearly 80% Chance of New Shutdown The Wall Street Journal
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