"Unraveling the Yield Curve's Recession Signal Reliability"
TL;DR Summary
The real yield curve has inverted, signaling potential economic trouble ahead. This inversion occurs when long-term interest rates fall below short-term rates, often seen as a warning sign of a looming recession.
- The *real* yield curve has just inverted Financial Times
- Recession prediction: Yield curve inventor says downturn to be mild Business Insider
- Why one of Wall Street’s most reliable recession indicators may have misfired MarketWatch
- Rate normalization and the return of risk RSM US
- Neel Kashkari Calls Yield Curve Recession Signal 'Not as Reliable' Barron's
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