US Q2 Economic Growth Shows Promise Amid Tariff Challenges

TL;DR Summary
The upcoming GDP report for Q2 may appear positive with an estimated growth of around 1.8%, but this is misleading as the growth is primarily driven by a sharp decline in imports rather than genuine economic acceleration. Underlying factors such as weaker investment and slowing private domestic sales suggest the economy is only 'muddling through' with no strong momentum for the rest of the year.
- Second-Quarter GDP Growth Will Look Good. Tariffs Complicate the Data. Barron's
- US economy expected to have grown as Trump's tariffs took hold ABC News
- U.S. economy is growing, but momentum may not last The Washington Post
- US economic growth likely rebounded in Q2, but with weak underlying details Reuters
- Final Nowcast for Q2 Econbrowser
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