Social Security 2026 COLA Outlook: Potential Increases and Shutdown Impact

TL;DR Summary
Forecasts for Social Security's 2026 cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) have increased to around 2.7-2.8%, driven by inflation influenced by tariffs, potentially increasing benefits by about $54-$56 per month for the average retired worker. The official COLA will be announced on October 24, despite ongoing government shutdowns, and beneficiaries should review their updated benefits and related changes.
- Social Security 2026 COLA Forecasts Have Gotten Bigger. Here's How Much Your Benefit Could Increase Next Year. The Motley Fool
- Social Security COLA increase for 2026 still uncertain after shutdown USA Today
- Will the government shutdown impact Social Security payments? Austin American-Statesman
- Social Security Warning Issued Over COLA—’Only Going to Get Worse’ Newsweek
- Social Security 2026 COLA announcement date set NewsNation
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