IMF Slightly Upgrades 2025 Global Growth Outlook Amid Persistent Risks
TL;DR Summary
The IMF has slightly raised its global growth forecast for 2025 to 3.0%, citing stronger-than-expected purchases and a drop in US tariffs, but warns that ongoing trade tensions, potential tariff hikes, and geopolitical risks could still hinder economic growth. The outlook remains below pre-pandemic levels, with inflation expected to stay above target in the US, and uncertainties around trade agreements and tariffs pose significant risks to the global economy.
- IMF nudges up 2025 growth forecast but says tariff risks still dog outlook Reuters
- I.M.F. Raises Global Growth Outlook as U.S. Eases Some Tariffs The New York Times
- World Economic Outlook Update, July 2025: Global Economy: Tenuous Resilience amid Persistent Uncertainty International Monetary Fund
- The better-than-feared global economy Axios
- IMF warns on risks to global economy amid tariff trade shock – as it happened The Guardian
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