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Ukraine's Counteroffensive: Applying Lessons from Historical Conflicts
Lessons from the Battle of France in 1940 can provide insights into how Ukraine might defeat Russia today. The key to Germany's swift victory was outmaneuvering the Allies, who were caught off guard and responded poorly to the breakthrough. Similarly, Ukraine's initial assault has been hindered by Russian defenses, but there is hope for a breakthrough if they can adapt their tactics and exploit gaps in the Russian lines. However, the nature of warfare has changed with advancements in technology, making decisive breakthroughs less likely. Nonetheless, the outcome of the Ukraine war remains uncertain, as demonstrated by the surprising fall of France in just six weeks.

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Ukraine's NATO Membership Bid Sparks Alliance Division
The US and its European partners are closely observing the war in Ukraine to learn tactical and operational lessons. However, there are risks in relying too much on what's happening in Eastern Europe, as the context of the conflict is vastly different from a potential conflict in the Indo-Pacific over Taiwan. China is also observing the successes and failures of Moscow, Kyiv, and Western supporters of Ukraine, meaning any revelations the US would hope to turn to its advantage in the Pacific could run headlong into countermeasures by a prepared and learning People’s Liberation Army.