
Impending Crash: US Office Real Estate Prices Plummet as Commercial Values Slide
Investors are predicting a severe crash in the US office real estate market, citing high interest rates and declining property values as key factors. A Bloomberg News survey revealed that around two-thirds of respondents believe the market will only recover after a crash. The majority expect office property prices to hit bottom in the second half of 2023 or the first half of 2024. The Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes have increased financing costs for commercial properties, coinciding with reduced demand. Investors are also concerned about a potential crisis triggered by $1.5 trillion in debt coming due by the end of 2025. Vacancy rates are at 30-year highs in many American cities, with New York City experiencing a 22.2% vacancy rate in Q1 2023. The commercial real estate sector's return to prior strength remains uncertain, particularly due to the shift to remote work and online shopping.

