Erdogan's Strategic Gains in Syria Amid Assad's Decline
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan views the recent overthrow of the Assad regime in Syria as an opportunity to address two major political challenges: securing Kurdish support to amend the constitution for a potential 2028 presidential run and repatriating Syrian refugees to bolster domestic support. With Assad's fall, Erdoğan aims to weaken the Syrian Kurdish forces, which could help him gain Kurdish backing in Turkey, and facilitate the return of refugees, addressing nationalist sentiments at home. However, past experiences suggest that his plans may face significant obstacles.