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Islamic Republic

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Three Forces Could Change Iran’s Protests
world1 month ago

Three Forces Could Change Iran’s Protests

CNN’s analysis argues that Iran’s current unrest differs from prior uprisings because three dynamics are at play: the Islamic Republic is weaker after its regional Gaza-Israel conflict and related strikes; a looming succession crisis around aging Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei threatens decision-making; and there is now a credible external threat from the United States that could alter calculations. Together with steadfast protesters, a repressive security apparatus, and mounting U.S. pressure, these forces could push political change without guaranteeing an immediate collapse.

"Iran's Provocative Actions: Unpacking the Growing Tensions in the Region"
international-relations2 years ago

"Iran's Provocative Actions: Unpacking the Growing Tensions in the Region"

Iran's "Supreme Guide," Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has a history of talking big but taking a cautious approach in conflicts, as seen in the recent Hamas-Israel fighting. Despite boasting about the "Resistance Front" and its military prowess, Khamenei has been hesitant to directly engage in conflicts, opting for a low profile and limited involvement through proxies. This approach has led to criticism and skepticism about Iran's actual capabilities and intentions in the region.