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Iowa Poll

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politics1 year ago

Renowned Pollster Ann Selzer Retires Amid Iowa Poll Controversy

Renowned Iowa pollster J. Ann Selzer is retiring from elections polling after 25 years, having announced her decision in a guest column for the Des Moines Register. Known for her work on the Iowa Poll since 1997, Selzer's recent presidential projection was notably off by 16 percentage points, drawing criticism from right-wing commentators. Despite this, she remains a trusted figure in Iowa polling, and her retirement had been planned for over a year.

via The Washington Post|
#ann-selzer#des-moines-register#iowa-poll
politics1 year ago

Renowned Pollster Ann Selzer Retires After Controversial Iowa Poll

Ann Selzer, a prominent pollster for The Des Moines Register, is retiring after a significant polling error in Iowa, where her survey incorrectly predicted Vice President Harris leading President-elect Trump. Despite the error, Selzer stated her decision to retire was made over a year ago and is unrelated to the recent polling miss. She expressed pride in her career and plans to continue working with other clients.

via The Hill|
#ann-selzer#election#iowa-poll
politics1 year ago

Renowned Pollster Ann Selzer Retires Following Controversial Iowa Poll

J. Ann Selzer, a renowned pollster known for her accurate election predictions, announced she is leaving election polling after her firm's recent inaccurate prediction in Iowa, where they showed Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump. Selzer, who has been associated with the Des Moines Register since 1997, will not renew her contract for 2024, citing a transition to other ventures. Despite her recent miss, Selzer has a history of successful predictions, including accurately forecasting Barack Obama's 2008 caucus victory and Joni Ernst's 2014 Senate win.

via POLITICO|
#des-moines-register#election-polling#iowa-poll
politics1 year ago

Renowned Pollster Ann Selzer Retires Amid Controversy and Missed Predictions

Top pollster Ann Selzer is retiring from the Des Moines Register's Iowa Poll after a significant polling error in the 2024 election, where her survey inaccurately showed Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump. Despite her previous reputation for accuracy, the poll missed Trump's actual 13-point victory in Iowa. Selzer had planned her retirement before the error, and the Register plans to evolve the poll to better capture public sentiment.

via CNN|
#2024-election#ann-selzer#donald-trump
politics1 year ago

Gannett Investigates Iowa Poll Leak as Harris Surges Ahead of Trump

The company behind the Des Moines Register is investigating a potential leak of Ann Selzer's Iowa poll results, which inaccurately showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading in Iowa, after they were posted on social media before official publication. The leak allegedly occurred when Illinois Governor JB Pritzker mentioned the poll's findings at a Duke Democrats meeting. The poll, which inaccurately predicted a Harris lead, was criticized after Donald Trump won the state, prompting Selzer to review her data and suggest the poll may have inadvertently motivated Republican voters.

via Fox News|
#ann-selzer#gannett-investigation#iowa-poll
politics1 year ago

Iowa Poll Controversy: Data Discrepancies and Voter Reactions

Gannett is investigating a potential leak of Ann Selzer's Iowa poll, which was released by The Des Moines Register and showed Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump, though Trump ultimately won Iowa by a significant margin. The leak was suggested by a tweet referencing Illinois Governor JB Pritzker discussing the poll before its official release. Gannett is reviewing employee communications to determine how the information was prematurely disclosed.

via Semafor|
#donald-trump#gannett#iowa-poll
politics1 year ago

Pollster Ann Selzer Reassesses Controversial Iowa Poll Results

Pollster Ann Selzer is reviewing her data after her Iowa poll inaccurately showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading, sparking a media frenzy. The poll, which contradicted former President Donald Trump's eventual victory in Iowa, was widely discussed and celebrated by media outlets. Selzer, known for her polling accuracy, faced criticism as the results did not align with the actual election outcome. The incident highlighted media narratives and assumptions about voter priorities, particularly regarding issues like abortion versus economic concerns.

via New York Post |
#ann-selzer#donald-trump#iowa-poll
politics1 year ago

Iowa Polling Misses Mark as Trump Secures Big Win

Pollster J. Ann Selzer plans to review her data after the Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll inaccurately predicted Vice President Kamala Harris leading over Donald Trump, who ultimately won Iowa by 14 percentage points. The poll, which had a margin of error of 3.4 points, showed Harris ahead by 3 points, but Trump secured 56% of the vote. Selzer, known for her accurate past predictions, is investigating potential factors like late voter decisions and unreported votes that may have contributed to the discrepancy.

via Des Moines Register|
#donald-trump#election-2024#iowa-poll
politics1 year ago

Harris Surges Ahead in Iowa Polls, Trump Dismisses Results as 'Suppression'

In the latest Des Moines Register Mediacom Iowa Poll, Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by 3 percentage points among likely voters, though within the margin of error. This has energized both Democratic and Republican voters, with Democrats seeing a potential upset and Republicans urged to not take the state for granted. Other polls, like Emerson College, still show Trump with a significant lead. The Iowa Poll's unique approach considers current events affecting voter behavior, and Harris' support is notably strong among younger, college-educated, and older female voters.

via KCCI Des Moines|
#donald-trump#election-2023#iowa-poll
politics1 year ago

Iowa Poll Shakes Up 2024 Race as Harris Surges Ahead of Trump

A new Iowa poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by three points, disrupting pre-election expectations. The poll, conducted by J. Ann Selzer, contrasts with previous polls showing Trump ahead. This unexpected result highlights potential shifts in voter dynamics, particularly among women and younger voters, and raises questions about Trump's support in other key states. With the election imminent, both candidates are making final campaign efforts in swing states.

via ABC News|
#2024-election#donald-trump#iowa-poll
politics1 year ago

Psaki Highlights Women's Political Momentum as Harris Gains Ground

Jen Psaki highlights the significant role of women in politics as a hopeful outcome of the election, with a 'hidden surge' potentially boosting Kamala Harris's campaign, as indicated by a favorable Iowa poll. Meanwhile, Trump faces criticism for his comments on the media and early voting, and concerns about election misinformation and its impact on U.S. stability are raised.

via MSNBC|
#election#iowa-poll#kamala-harris
politics2 years ago

"Haley Surges Past DeSantis in GOP Presidential Polls, Trump Still Leads"

A new Suffolk University poll shows Nikki Haley leading over Ron DeSantis in Iowa, but both still trail behind Donald Trump, who maintains a strong lead with 54% of likely Republican caucusgoers. Haley is also gaining support in New Hampshire, but faces a significant challenge in securing the Republican nomination from Trump, despite speculation that she could gain more support with Chris Christie out of the race.

via USA TODAY|
#donald-trump#iowa-poll#nikki-haley
politics2 years ago

"Haley Surges Past DeSantis in Key Polls, Threatens Trump's Dominance"

A recent Iowa poll of likely Republican caucus-goers shows former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley leading Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis for the first time, with former president Donald Trump maintaining a dominant lead. Haley's support rises among independents and moderate caucus-goers, positioning her well for the New Hampshire primary. Despite positive trends for Haley, Trump remains the heavy favorite for the GOP presidential nomination, with about 6 in 10 Republicans nationwide supporting him.

via The Washington Post|
#2024-presidential-election#iowa-poll#nikki-haley