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Fed Expectations

All articles tagged with #fed expectations

markets13 hours ago

Bond yields slide as cooler core inflation boosts bets on slower Fed tightening

U.S. Treasuries rallied after December's core inflation rose 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year, slightly below expectations, driving the 10-year yield down to about 4.175% (hit 4.156% intraday) while the 2-year slid to roughly 3.528% and the 30-year to 4.832%. Markets price in two 25-basis-point Fed cuts this year beginning in June as inflation trends decline and the labor market slows, though larger policy moves depend on ongoing data and the DOJ investigation into Powell’s renovations, which he says could influence the central bank’s decisions.

markets4 months ago

Upcoming Jobs Report Could Influence Fed Rate Cut Expectations

Investors are largely expecting a September interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with market reactions to the upcoming August jobs report contingent on whether the data shows softness or strength. A modest jobs increase is already priced in, and only significant surprises—either very weak or very strong—could alter the current rate cut expectations or impact stock and bond markets.