"Forecasting the Turbulent Political Landscape of 2024: Rematches, Risks, and Calls to Action"
The article outlines 24 key numbers to watch in the 2024 U.S. political landscape, including Trump's support among white evangelicals in Iowa, Nikki Haley's vote share among women in New Hampshire, and the potential impact of third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. It also highlights the importance of Biden's approval rating, the number of Trump's convictions before Election Day, consumer confidence, and the number of general election debates. Other factors include the turnout rate, the enthusiasm gap, and various demographic splits between Biden and Trump. The article also touches on campaign ad spending, abortion messaging, the national murder rate, competitive Senate primaries, and House retirements, all of which could shape the crucial political year ahead.