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Election Forecast

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Kamala Harris Emerges as Frontrunner in 2024 Election Predictions
politics1 year ago

Kamala Harris Emerges as Frontrunner in 2024 Election Predictions

As polls open, Vice President Kamala Harris is predicted to win the election by most major forecasters, with Nate Silver's model giving her a slight edge in the Electoral College. Harris is projected to secure 271 votes to Trump's 267, marking a shift from earlier predictions favoring Trump. Other forecasters like FiveThirtyEight and The Economist also give Harris a narrow advantage. However, some forecasters, such as DecisionDeskHQ and J.L. Partners, predict a Trump victory. The race remains extremely close, with recent polls showing the candidates within 1-2 points of each other, and experts caution that polling errors could significantly impact the outcome.