"US Experts: China Lacks Military Power to Invade Taiwan"

A survey of 52 US experts and 35 experts from Taiwan suggests that China lacks the military capability to successfully invade Taiwan, with only 27% of US experts believing in its ability. The majority of experts on both sides, however, think China could pressure Taiwan through a quarantine or blockade. Most US experts are confident that the US military would intervene in such scenarios, but this confidence is not shared by experts in Taiwan. The majority of experts are pessimistic about cross-strait relations in 2024, with concerns heightened following Taiwan's election of William Lai Ching-te as its new leader, who is seen as likely to escalate tensions with China.