Michigan's Winter Outlook: Dry and Warm or Just a Myth?

TL;DR Summary
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its winter outlook for the United States, predicting warmer-than-average temperatures and drier-than-average conditions across the north, including Michigan. With El Niño in place for the first time in four years, the NOAA forecasts a 40%-50% probability of above-normal temperatures and a 40%-50% probability of below-average precipitation for Michigan during the winter season.
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